Match Info

BRAZIL: COPA DO NORDESTE - ROUND 6

Date: 4 March 2023, Saturday


	ABC		Atlético de Alagoinhas

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.3	4.8	9
	1.34	4.4	7
	1.31	4.91	10.1
	1.27	5.05	9.9	Watch
	1.32	4.5	8.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.48)	4.73 ↑ (3.99)	8.88 ↑ (6.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ABC
70.2%

Draw
19.4%

Atlético de Alagoinhas
10.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62%

22.9%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.9%

21.9%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ABC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in ABC's performance.

Atlético de Alagoinhas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ABC than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ABC that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético de Alagoinhas than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ABC - Atlético de Alagoinhas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa do Nordeste (Play Offs) and 6).

Two teams are playing changeable.

ABC could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently ABC have a series of guest games.

Recently Atlético de Alagoinhas have a series of home games.

In this match ABC is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ABC FC
Copa do Brasil
01.03.23	Tuntum - ABC	0:5 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Potiguar
25.02.23	Potiguar - ABC	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
22.02.23	Ferroviário Fortaleza - ABC	2:2 ✺
18.02.23	Vitória Salvador - ABC	1:1 ✺
15.02.23	ABC - Sampaio Corrêa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLTTW
- Atlético de Alagoinhas
Copa do Brasil
01.03.23	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Atlético Goianiense	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
26.02.23	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Doce Mel	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
23.02.23	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Campinense	2:1 ✺
17.02.23	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Bahia	1:2 ✺
14.02.23	Santa Cruz Recife - Atlético de Alagoinhas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TTWLL

ABC - Atlético de Alagoinhas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide