Match Info

BRAZIL: COPA DO NORDESTE - ROUND 6

Date: 5 March 2023, Sunday


	Sergipe		Fluminense Piaui

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.44	4	6.75
	1.42	4	6.3
	1.44	4.19	6.9
	1.42	3.8	7
	1.39	4.3	7.5	Watch
	1.44	4	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (2)	4.05 ↑ (3.21)	6.81 ↑ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sergipe
64%

Draw
22.5%

Fluminense Piaui
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

28.5%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

27.7%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sergipe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sergipe's performance.

Fluminense Piaui has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fluminense Piaui might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sergipe than the current prediction. (-16.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sergipe that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense Piaui than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fluminense Piaui could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Sergipe - Fluminense Piaui Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Sergipe will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Fluminense PI will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa do Nordeste (Play Offs) and 8).

Sergipe is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fluminense PI is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sergipe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sergipe is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Sergipe
Copa do Brasil
02.03.23	Sergipe - Botafogo RJ	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
26.02.23	Sergipe - Itabaiana	2:1 ✺
22.02.23	Atlético Gloriense - Sergipe	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
18.02.23	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Sergipe	0:0 ✺
15.02.23	Sergipe - Vitória Salvador	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 TWTTW
- Fluminense Piaui
Copa do Brasil
28.02.23	Fluminense Piaui - Ponte Preta	0:4 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Piauiense
25.02.23	Corisabbá - Fluminense Piaui	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
22.02.23	Fluminense Piaui - Ceará	2:5 ✺
18.02.23	Fluminense Piaui - Campinense	1:2 ✺
15.02.23	Náutico Capibaribe - Fluminense Piaui	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LWLLL

Sergipe - Fluminense Piaui: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide