The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Aparecidense 52.2%
Draw 29%
ABECAT Ouvidorense 18.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.6%
29.3%
27.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.4%
29.2%
27.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aparecidense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aparecidense's performance.
ABECAT Ouvidorense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and ABECAT Ouvidorense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aparecidense than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aparecidense that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for ABECAT Ouvidorense than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that ABECAT Ouvidorense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Aparecidense - ABECAT Ouvidorense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Pedro Henrique (G) 3. Darlan 2. Fellipe Ferreira 4. Jefferson 7. Luan 9. Marcao 15. Matheus Lima 10. Raphael Luz 5. Renato Alves (C) 8. Richard 11. Thiaguinho
12. Lucas Alves (G) 19. Alan Junior 2. Cleitinho 7. Emerson Machado 6. Joao Gabriel 10. Juliano 3. Leo Alves 11. Matheuzinho 8. Pingo 4. Rafael Dumas 15. Rafinha (C)
Substitutes
23. Abdalla Lopes D. 12. Alan Gobetti (G) 19. Arthur Gabriel 20. Bruninho 6. Caetano 18. Carlos Baje 17. Guilherme Dourado 14. Ivan Junior 16. Luiz Guilherme 13. Perin 21. Rodrigo Amorim 22. Thierry
1. Bruno Pianissolla (G) 13. Dionatan 9. Jackson 22. Joao Victor 23. Joaozinho 5. Kaio Gois 16. Lazaro 20. Marcilio 17. Maycon 14. Pablo 18. Pedro Matielo 21. Roney
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Marcao ⚽,
28', 🟨,
33', 1 - 1, Rafael Dumas ⚽,
45+7', Renato Alves 🟨,
45+7', Juliano 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
51', 1 - 2, Alan Junior ⚽,
58', Luan ↓, Guilherme Dourado ↑,
59', Richard ↓, Bruninho ↑,
61', Emerson Machado ↓, Maycon ↑,
61', Alan Junior ↓, Jackson ↑,
61', Juliano ↓, Pedro Matielo ↑,
66', Pingo ↓, Marcilio ↑,
68', 1 - 3, Rafinha (Penalty Awarded),
70', Fellipe Ferreira ↓, Luiz Guilherme ↑,
70', Matheus Lima ↓, Ivan Junior ↑,
72', 2 - 3, Jefferson ⚽,
73', Maycon 🟨,
76', Guilherme Dourado 🟨,
78', Thiaguinho ↓, Carlos Baje ↑,
79', Matheuzinho ↓, Dionatan ↑,
81', Lucas Alves 🟨,
86', 3 - 3, Carlos Baje ⚽,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Goiano (Relegation) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Goiano (Play Offs: )).
ABECAT is Qualified for Goiano (Play Offs )
Aparecidense is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
ABECAT is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Aparecidense is a strong favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Aparecidense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
Including home match between the teams, Aparecidense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
Watch
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Pedro Henrique (G) 
Joaozinho 
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