The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
ABECAT Ouvidorense 43.2%
Draw 29.9%
Jataiense 27%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34%
30%
36%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.8%
29.8%
36.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
ABECAT Ouvidorense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in ABECAT Ouvidorense's performance.
Jataiense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jataiense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for ABECAT Ouvidorense than the current prediction. (-9.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ABECAT Ouvidorense that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jataiense than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jataiense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
ABECAT Ouvidorense - Jataiense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bruno Pianissolla (C) 2. Cleitinho 11. Emerson Machado 23. Juliano 3. Leo Alves 5. Lucas Silva 6. Marcilio 4. Rafael Dumas 15. Rafinha 10. Roney 7. Wellington Oliveira
1. Luis Augusto (G) 10. Assis 11. Bruninho 8. Dieyson 5. Emersonn Bastos 9. Gilvan 6. Ian Barreto 2. Mauricio 4. Pedro Botelho (C) 7. Richard 3. Tiburcio
Substitutes
13. Dionatan 16. Douglas Carvalho 9. Jackson 20. Joao Gabriel 19. Joao Victor 12. Lucas Alves (G) 22. Matheuzinho 14. Pablo 8. Pedro Matielo 24. Ryan Santos (G) 18. Uesley Gaucho
20. Adriano 14. Arthur Amorim 23. de Souza Ritter P. (G) 13. Guilherme Martins 16. Ikaro 19. Kelvin 18. Mateus Goiano 12. Max (G) 17. Paulinho 15. Yuri
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, Tiburcio ⚽,
40', 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 1, Rafinha ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 🟨,
54', 🟨,
58', 2 - 1, Emerson Machado ⚽,
62', Roney ↓, Matheuzinho ↑,
62', Dieyson ↓, Yuri ↑,
62', Bruninho ↓, Paulinho ↑,
64', Bruno Pianissolla 🟨,
69', Emersonn Bastos ↓, Kelvin ↑,
78', Mauricio ↓, Guilherme Martins ↑,
78', Richard ↓, Adriano ↑,
78', Wellington Oliveira ↓, Joao Gabriel ↑,
78', Emerson Machado ↓, Jackson ↑,
86', Juliano ↓, Joao Victor ↑,
86', Marcilio ↓, Pedro Matielo ↑,
90', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,
Preview
First leg.
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Goiano (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Goiano (Play Offs: ))
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, ABECAT won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, ABECAT won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).