Match Info

Serie C - Play Out - Final

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Pino Zaccheria (Foggia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251


	Foggia		ACR Messina

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.95	2.6
	2.55	3.05	2.8
	2.71	3.2	2.83
	2.66	3	2.81
	2.58	3.09	2.7
	2.55	3.05	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.4)	3.06 ↑ (2.9)	2.76 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Foggia
35.9%

Draw
30.4%

ACR Messina
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

30.6%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

31.2%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Foggia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ACR Messina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Foggia than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ACR Messina than the current prediction. (-2%)

Foggia - ACR Messina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Perina P. (G) 3. Felicioli G. 19. Dutu E. 32. Parodi G. 31. Salines E. (C) 17. Tascone S. 10. Gala A. 47. Pazienza O. 7. Zunno M. 23. Sarr A. M. 90. Emmausso M.	12. Krapikas T. (G) 7. Lia D. 6. Gelli J. 44. Dumbravanu D. 4. Garofalo V. 23. Crimi M. 37. Buchel M. 16. Petrucci D. (C) 24. Chiarella M. 18. Luciani P. 11. Tordini M.
Substitutes
37. Brugognone G. 6. Camigliano A. 20. Da Riva J. 12. De Simone L. (G) 97. Kiyine S. 18. La Porta 13. Marzupio M. 4. Mazzocco D. 11. Orlando F. 9. Santaniello E. 2. Silvestro A. 45. Spano R. 77. Testa A. (G) 24. Touho M.	31. Anzelmo D. 90. Costantino R. 77. Dell'Aquila F. 9. De Sena C. 14. Gyamfi B. 20. Haveri K. 3. Ingrosso G. 27. Mameli B. 15. Marino A. 22. Meli G. (G) 40. Morichelli R. 28. Pedicillo L. 30. Vicario J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', Chiarella M. 🟨,
18', 1 - 0, Emmausso M. ⚽,
37', Gelli J. 🟨,
44', Luciani P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Chiarella M. ↓, Dell'Aquila F. ↑,
46', Petrucci D. ↓, De Sena C. ↑,
63', Tordini M. ↓, Vicario J. ↑,
67', Tascone S. ↓, Mazzocco D. ↑,
67', Gala A. ↓, Kiyine S. ↑,
71', Mazzocco D. 🟨,
75', Luciani P. (Pen),
79', Luciani P. ↓, Costantino R. ↑,
81', Emmausso M. 🟨,
81', Emmausso M. ↓, Orlando F. ↑,
84', Salines E. ↓, Camigliano A. ↑,
85', Kiyine S. 🟨,
87', Lia D. ↓, Pedicillo L. ↑,
90+7', Costantino R. 🟥,

Preview

1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Foggia won 3.

Foggia has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

ACR Messina is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Foggia has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Foggia won 13 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 33:10. (average 1.8:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Foggia won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:5. (average 1.9:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Foggia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
10.05.25	ACR Messina - Foggia	0:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
27.04.25	Picerno - Foggia	0:0 ✺
19.04.25	Foggia - ACR Messina	1:2 ✺
14.04.25	Crotone - Foggia	3:2 ✺
29.03.25	Casertana - Foggia	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TTLLL
- ACR Messina
Italian Serie C Group A
10.05.25	ACR Messina - Foggia	0:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
27.04.25	ACR Messina - Juventus U23	2:1 ✺
19.04.25	Foggia - ACR Messina	1:2 ✺
06.04.25	Sorrento - ACR Messina	2:1 ✺
29.03.25	ACR Messina - Altamura	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
10.05.25	ACR Messina - Foggia	0:0
Italian Serie C Group C
19.04.25	Foggia - ACR Messina	1:2
07.12.24	ACR Messina - Foggia	0:3
23.03.24	ACR Messina - Foggia	0:3
19.11.23	Foggia - ACR Messina	2:0
02.04.23	ACR Messina - Foggia	0:1
30.11.22	Foggia - ACR Messina	1:0

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