Match Info

Serie D - Group I - Round 13

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio San Filippo (Messina)


	ACR Messina		Savoia

	1	X	2
	2.72	2.92	2.48
	3.02	3.23	2.34
	2.46	3.15	2.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.34)	3.1 ↓ (3.15)	2.5 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ACR Messina
33.6%

Draw
29.6%

Savoia
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

28.3%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

28.7%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ACR Messina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Savoia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ACR Messina than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Savoia than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ACR Messina - Savoia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, ACR Messina won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, ACR Messina won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ACR Messina
Italian Serie D - Group I
16.11.25	Gelbison Cilento - ACR Messina	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	ACR Messina - Vibonese	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Nissa - ACR Messina	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	ACR Messina - Castrumfavara	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	Sambiase - ACR Messina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WTLWT
- US Savoia
Italian Serie D - Group I
16.11.25	Ragusa - Savoia	3:2 ✺
09.11.25	Savoia - Milazzo	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Gelbison Cilento - Savoia	2:6 ✺
26.10.25	Savoia - Vibonese	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
22.10.25	Città di Fasano - Savoia	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
08.12.19	Savoia - ACR Messina	1:1
Italian Serie C Group C
30.05.15	ACR Messina - Savoia	Canceled
09.05.15	Savoia - ACR Messina	2:1
06.01.15	ACR Messina - Savoia	3:0

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