Match Info

Serie D - Group I - Round 12

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday


	Ragusa		Savoia

	1	X	2
	11	5.5	1.19
	3.63	3.20	1.98	Watch
	16	4.8	1.2
	3.7	3.2	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.58 ↑ (3.65)	4.18 ↑ (3.25)	1.58 ↓ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ragusa
11.8%

Draw
24.2%

Savoia
64%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.6%

27.6%

47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

27.1%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ragusa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ragusa's form might have worsened.

Savoia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Savoia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ragusa than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ragusa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Savoia than the current prediction. (-15.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Savoia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ragusa - Savoia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
2nd Half (2 - 0)

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Recent form of Ragusa has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Savoia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Savoia might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ragusa Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
09.11.25	Vigor Lamezia - Ragusa	4:0 ✺
02.11.25	Vibonese - Ragusa	0:1 ✺
26.10.25	Ragusa - Milazzo	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Castrumfavara - Ragusa	2:0 ✺
12.10.25	Ragusa - Gelbison Cilento	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWLLT
- US Savoia
Italian Serie D - Group I
09.11.25	Savoia - Milazzo	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Gelbison Cilento - Savoia	2:6 ✺
26.10.25	Savoia - Vibonese	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
22.10.25	Città di Fasano - Savoia	4:3 penalties ✺
Italian Serie D - Group I
19.10.25	Nissa - Savoia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWWLL

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