Match Info

Serie D - Group I - Round 10

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday


	Gelbison Cilento		Savoia

	1	X	2
	2.25	3	2.98
	1.95	3.40	3.49	Watch
	2.31	3.04	2.94
	2.02	3.3	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.9)	3.19 ↓ (3.38)	3.19 ↓ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gelbison Cilento
42.8%

Draw
28.6%

Savoia
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

26.9%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

29%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gelbison Cilento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gelbison Cilento's form might have worsened.

Savoia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gelbison Cilento than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gelbison Cilento, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Savoia than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Savoia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Gelbison Cilento - Savoia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
20', 1 - 0, Liurni L. (Pen),
42', 1 - 1, Favetta C. ⚽,
45', 1 - 2, Dani Munoz ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 4)
77', 2 - 2, ⚽,
77', 2 - 3, ⚽,
77', 2 - 4, ⚽,
90', 2 - 5, ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 6, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Gelbison Cilento may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Gelbison Cilento has had a series of away games.

Gelbison Cilento will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Gelbison Cilento won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Gelbison Cilento won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Gelbison Cilento
Italian Serie D - Group I
26.10.25	Vigor Lamezia - Gelbison Cilento	0:1 ✺
12.10.25	Ragusa - Gelbison Cilento	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
08.10.25	Nocerina - Gelbison Cilento	4:2 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group I
05.10.25	Castrumfavara - Gelbison Cilento	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Gelbison Cilento - Milazzo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WTLTT
- US Savoia
Italian Serie D - Group I
26.10.25	Savoia - Vibonese	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
22.10.25	Città di Fasano - Savoia	4:3 penalties ✺
Italian Serie D - Group I
19.10.25	Nissa - Savoia	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	Savoia - Castrumfavara	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
08.10.25	Savoia - Paganese	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group G
12.01.25	Savoia - Gelbison Cilento	0:1
15.09.24	Gelbison Cilento - Savoia	1:0
Italian Serie D - Group H
23.12.18	Savoia - Gelbison Cilento	2:2

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