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Current Win Probability
ACV 45.6%
Draw 24.6%
Koninklijke HFC 29.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.5%
26.1%
34.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.9%
24.4%
36.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
ACV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in ACV's performance.
Koninklijke HFC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for ACV than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ACV that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Koninklijke HFC than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Koninklijke HFC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
ACV - Koninklijke HFC Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
26. Wolfs M. (G) 4. Hettinga Y. (C) 3. Wielink N. 18. Schraven J. 5. Mansaray E. 11. Mulder J. 6. Hamelink M. 7. Jasper G. 21. Slor K. 24. Oostra T. 20. van der Werff T.
1. Michaelis M. (C) 2. Ploem M. 3. Heeremans R. 4. Vlak G. 88. Jansen Q. 17. de Wilde L. 87. Ladan D. 21. Bijen T. 7. Klomp F. 16. Muller J. 23. de Boer T.
Substitutes
15. Berends F. 25. Broers L. 27. Lemmen T. 1. Runhart B. (G) 19. Smid D. 10. Spijkerman B. 17. Strijker S.
8. Lahri O. 11. Muns B. 24. Mussche S. 22. Ramdjanamsingh D. 6. Tros K. 12. van der Sar J. (G) 64. van der Weijden J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Jansen Q. 🟨,
35', Wielink N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ladan D. ↓, Muns B. ↑,
46', Wielink N. ↓, Strijker S. ↑,
49', Vlak G. 🟨,
71', Hamelink M. ↓, Broers L. ↑,
71', van der Werff T. ↓, Lemmen T. ↑,
76', Bijen T. ↓, Tros K. ↑,
76', 1 - 0, Slor K. ⚽, Broers L. (A),
78', Schraven J. ↓, Spijkerman B. ↑,
82', Klomp F. ↓, Ramdjanamsingh D. ↑,
84', Jasper G. ↓, Berends F. ↑,
86', de Boer T. ↓, van der Weijden J. ↑,
90+4', Slor K. 🟨,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 15).
Recent form of ACV has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
HFC has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
ACV might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ACV won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).
Including home matches between the teams, ACV won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
Watch
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Wolfs M. (G) 
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