The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Katwijk 61.4%
Draw 20.4%
Koninklijke HFC 18.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.3%
22.5%
20.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.6%
22%
19.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Katwijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
Koninklijke HFC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Katwijk than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Koninklijke HFC than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Katwijk - Koninklijke HFC Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Kesting J. (G) 15. Sinteur B. 2. van den Bogert V. 4. Maatsen D. 3. Ravensbergen J. (C) 22. Brenna M. 6. van der Meer R. 8. Janmaat F. 7. Korte G. 19. Tahiri M. 10. Suleiman M.
1. Michaelis M. (C) 5. Lathouwers R. 3. Heeremans R. 88. Jansen Q. 64. van der Weijden J. 14. Mwenda R. 16. Muller J. 8. Lahri O. 17. de Wilde L. 9. Donker N. 87. Ladan D.
Substitutes
11. Jesse M. 18. Kamperveen A. 41. van Bladeren S. (G) 20. van der Meer O. 9. Van der Moot D. 5. van der Pluijm Y. 16. van Wageningen D.
23. de Boer T. 7. Klomp F. 11. Muns B. 24. Mussche S. 22. Ramdjanamsingh D. 12. van der Sar J. (G) 4. Vlak G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Lathouwers R. ↓, de Boer T. ↑,
45', Donker N. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Michaelis M. ↓, van der Sar J. ↑,
46', Donker N. ↓, Muns B. ↑,
47', 1 - 0, Tahiri M. (Penalty Awarded),
56', 2 - 0, Ravensbergen J. ⚽, Sinteur B. (A),
57', 3 - 0, Suleiman M. ⚽, Korte G. (A),
61', van der Weijden J. ↓, Mussche S. ↑,
66', Mwenda R. ↓, Klomp F. ↑,
69', Janmaat F. ↓, van Wageningen D. ↑,
69', Tahiri M. ↓, Van der Moot D. ↑,
72', 4 - 0, Van der Moot D. ⚽,
76', van der Meer R. ↓, van der Meer O. ↑,
86', Suleiman M. ↓, Jesse M. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Katwijk won 2.
Katwijk has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
HFC is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
In this match, Katwijk is the team to beat.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Katwijk won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:22. (average 1.1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Katwijk won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.8:0.9).