Match Info

Liga 2 - Round 11

Date: 26 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Victor Montoya Segura (Jaen)


	ADA Jaén		Pirata

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.50	3.40
	2.58	3.55	2.28
	2.21	3.4	2.48
	2.43	4.06	2.43	Watch
	2.55	3.6	2.25
	2.28	4.15	2.49
	2.55	3.55	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (1.59)	3.69 ↑ (3.61)	2.52 ↓ (4.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ADA Jaén
39%

Draw
24.8%

Pirata
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

25.1%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

25%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ADA Jaén has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that ADA Jaén's form might have worsened.

Pirata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pirata's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADA Jaén than the current prediction. (+17.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for ADA Jaén, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pirata than the current prediction. (-17.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pirata, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

ADA Jaén - Pirata Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pirata (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Pirata (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Pirata (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Franco E. (G) 22. Acevedo G. 36. Beltran A. 23. Jimenez C. 37. Maciel E. 14. Rivera J. 9. Rodriguez F. 19. Ruiz H. 6. Sanchez A. 33. Tecilla N. 26. Yllescas J.	12. Quiroz R. (G) 13. Carrillo L. 7. Cordara B. 3. Diez Canseco P. 2. Ledesma A. 10. Lugo K. 19. Morales M. 6. Navarro J. 26. Rojas J. 20. Santos S. 32. Suclupe M.
Substitutes
13. Cano L. 21. Cassiano F. 17. Cervera W. 10. Cubas A. 18. Figueroa N. 11. Perea M. 12. Rabines M. (G) 8. Rodriguez N. 5. Vidal A.	45. Canova J. 8. Carbajal J. 11. Cerutti R. 16. Dominguez A. 14. Fernandez F. 24. Larrea F. (G) 21. Lozano T. 22. Rodriguez A. 17. Tapia D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Maciel E. ⚽,
12', 1 - 1, Morales M. ⚽,
23', 2 - 1, Rodriguez F. ⚽,
28', Navarro J. 🟨,
28', Rodriguez F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rivera J. ↓, Cervera W. ↑,
58', Santos S. ↓, Cerutti R. ↑,
58', Suclupe M. ↓, Canova J. ↑,
59', 3 - 1, Tecilla N. ⚽,
62', Acevedo G. 🟨,
70', Diez Canseco P. ↓, Dominguez A. ↑,
70', Rojas J. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
76', Ruiz H. ↓, Vidal A. ↑,
76', Tecilla N. ↓, Cubas A. ↑,
82', Yllescas J. ↓, Cassiano F. ↑,
89', Rodriguez F. ↓, Figueroa N. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Promotion Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Promotion Group: )).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

ADA may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, ADA has had a series of away games.

In this match, ADA is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ADA won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, ADA won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ADA Jaén
Peruvian Liga 2
19.07.26	Cantolao - ADA Jaén	0:0 ✺
Peruvian Copa de la Liga
12.07.26	Cajamarca - ADA Jaén	4:1 ✺
20.06.26	Juan Pablo II College - ADA Jaén	0:0 ✺
11.06.26	ADA Jaén - Comerciantes Unidos	2:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 2
31.05.26	Unión Comercio - ADA Jaén	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 TLTWL
- Pirata FC
Peruvian Liga 2
20.07.26	Pirata - Universidad San Martín	3:2 ✺
Peruvian Copa de la Liga
10.07.26	Alianza Atlético - Pirata	3:2 ✺
22.06.26	Atlético Grau - Pirata	3:2 ✺
12.06.26	Pirata - Universitario de Deportes	2:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 2
01.06.26	Pirata - Deportivo Llacuabamba	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
06.04.26	Pirata - ADA Jaén	0:1
28.06.25	Pirata - ADA Jaén	1:1
10.05.25	ADA Jaén - Pirata	1:2
22.06.24	ADA Jaén - Pirata	1:1
30.04.24	Pirata - ADA Jaén	2:1

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