Match Info

Copa de la Liga - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 July 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Campeones del 36 (Sullana)


	Alianza Atlético		Pirata

	1	X	2
	1.39	3.95	8.3
	1.41	4.32	7.46
	1.45	4.25	7	Watch
	1.23	4.85	9.3
	1.37	4.87	7.57
	1.38	4.1	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.59)	4.39 ↑ (3.5)	7.74 ↑ (5.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alianza Atlético
67.1%

Draw
21%

Pirata
11.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

25.7%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

25%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza Atlético has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alianza Atlético's performance.

Pirata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pirata might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alianza Atlético that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pirata than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pirata could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Alianza Atlético - Pirata Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Alianza Atlético will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
95. Prieto D. (G) 99. Barreda M. 22. del Castillo J. 37. Delgado J. 10. Diaz G. 24. Gordillo A. (C) 25. Guzman W. 11. Larios Saavedra G. A. 6. Lujan J. 20. Perez J. 21. Perleche E.	24. Larrea F. (G) 13. Carrillo L. 7. Cordara B. 3. Diez Canseco P. (C) 10. Lugo K. 19. Morales M. 6. Navarro J. 22. Rodriguez A. 26. Rojas J. 20. Santos S. 32. Suclupe M.
Substitutes
18. Chilo D. 26. Cornejo K. (G) 8. Flores F. 15. Lupu H. 23. Munoz A. 17. Penilla C. 9. Robaldo V. 28. Rossi J. (G) 2. Suarez R.	8. Carbajal J. 11. Cerutti R. 14. Chirinos A. 16. Dominguez A. . Fernandez F. 25. La Torre F. 21. Lozano T. 17. Tapia D. 1. Torres J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Perez J. ⚽,
20', 1 - 1, Lugo K. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Delgado J. ↓, Cornejo K. ↑,
46', Barreda M. ↓, Lupu H. ↑,
46', Perez J. ↓, Penilla C. ↑,
47', Santos S. ↓, Carbajal J. ↑,
55', Lupu H. 🟨,
62', Rodriguez A. ↓, Fernandez F. ↑,
62', Larios Saavedra G. A. ↓, Robaldo V. ↑,
62', Santos S. ↓, Cerutti R. ↑,
69', 2 - 1, Robaldo V. ⚽,
71', 🟨,
78', 3 - 1, Robaldo V. ⚽,
82', Perleche E. ↓, Flores F. ↑,
88', 3 - 2, Fernandez F. ⚽,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Alianza Atlético may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Alianza Atlético has had a series of away games.

In this match, Alianza Atlético is a strong favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alianza Atlético
Peruvian Copa de la Liga
28.06.26	Alianza Lima - Alianza Atlético	1:2 ✺
19.06.26	Alianza Atlético - Universidad César Vallejo	2:0 ✺
13.06.26	Carlos A. Mannucci - Alianza Atlético	0:1 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
31.05.26	FBC Melgar - Alianza Atlético	3:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
28.05.26	Tigre - Alianza Atlético	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWWLL
- Pirata FC
Peruvian Copa de la Liga
22.06.26	Atlético Grau - Pirata	3:2 ✺
12.06.26	Pirata - Universitario de Deportes	2:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 2
01.06.26	Pirata - Deportivo Llacuabamba	3:1 ✺
24.05.26	Carlos A. Mannucci - Pirata	1:0 ✺
11.05.26	Pirata - Cantolao	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWWLW

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