Match Info

NETHERLANDS: Tweede Divisie - Round 8

Date: 5 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Sportpark De Vlotter (Heemskerk)


	ADO 20 Heemskerk		Rijnsburgse Boys

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.6	2.6
	2.8	4.1	1.99
	3.15	4.37	1.72
	3.36	4.7	1.8	Watch
	3.74	3.9	1.74
	3.1	3.95	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (2.34)	4.1 ↑ (3.93)	1.96 ↓ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ADO 20 Heemskerk
30.3%

Draw
22.5%

Rijnsburgse Boys
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

23.7%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

24%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ADO 20 Heemskerk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that ADO 20 Heemskerk's form might have worsened.

Rijnsburgse Boys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rijnsburgse Boys's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADO 20 Heemskerk than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for ADO 20 Heemskerk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rijnsburgse Boys than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rijnsburgse Boys, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

ADO 20 Heemskerk - Rijnsburgse Boys Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Deen V. (G) 2. Schilling M. 12. Richard J. 19. Kroon S. (C) 27. Volkers L. 6. Carbaat T. 8. Glim F. 9. de Vre J. 30. George D. 11. Holtkamp S. 10. Helder J.	1. Zonneveld W. (G) 4. Walraven D. 6. Ros B. (C) 5. Zandbergen R. 2. Gielisse R. 10. Spruijt J. 26. van Kempen M. 8. Klaver N. 9. Van der Moot D. 14. van der Weijden M. 7. Kariouh I.
Substitutes
25. de Haan L. (G) 4. Hirasingh Y. 16. Kaaijmolen N. 14. Lute D. 17. Prijor D. 18. van Esveld J. 23. Venrooy L.	21. Bijen T. 17. de Haas J. 32. Kramer S. 11. Slierendrecht A. 3. van der Plas D. 20. van Haaften T. 16. Zuidema G. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
2', 0 - 1, Zandbergen R. ⚽,
22', 0 - 2, van der Weijden M. ⚽, Kariouh I. (A),
40', George D. 🟨,
42', 0 - 3, van der Weijden M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Schilling M. ↓, Hirasingh Y. ↑,
46', Holtkamp S. ↓, Prijor D. ↑,
54', Kroon S. 🟥,
64', Spruijt J. ↓, Bijen T. ↑,
65', Van der Moot D. ↓, Slierendrecht A. ↑,
70', Zandbergen R. ↓, van der Plas D. ↑,
74', George D. ↓, Lute D. ↑,
78', van Kempen M. ↓, de Haas J. ↑,
78', Gielisse R. ↓, Kramer S. ↑,
80', de Vre J. ↓, Venrooy L. ↑,
81', Richard J. ↓, Kaaijmolen N. ↑,
84', 0 - 4, Ros B. ⚽,
89', 0 - 5, Bijen T. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Tweede Divisie (Relegation) and 3).

ADO 20 is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rijnsburgse Boys is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches ADO 20 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:1 (average 0.5:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams ADO 20 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ADO 20 Heemskerk
Dutch Tweede Divisie
28.09.24	Jong Sparta Rotterdam - ADO 20 Heemskerk	1:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
24.09.24	Genemuiden - ADO 20 Heemskerk	1:0 ✺
Dutch Tweede Divisie
21.09.24	ADO 20 Heemskerk - Spakenburg	1:6 ✺
14.09.24	BVV Barendrecht - ADO 20 Heemskerk	5:1 ✺
08.09.24	ADO 20 Heemskerk - Koninklijke HFC	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLLLL
- Rijnsburgse Boys
Dutch Tweede Divisie
28.09.24	Rijnsburgse Boys - Katwijk	1:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
24.09.24	Rijnsburgse Boys - Sportlust 46	1:0 ✺
Dutch Tweede Divisie
21.09.24	ACV - Rijnsburgse Boys	1:1 ✺
14.09.24	Rijnsburgse Boys - Excelsior Maassluis	4:0 ✺
07.09.24	HHC Hardenberg - Rijnsburgse Boys	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Tweede Divisie
17.02.24	ADO 20 Heemskerk - Rijnsburgse Boys	0:1
16.09.23	Rijnsburgse Boys - ADO 20 Heemskerk	0:1

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