Match Info

NETHERLANDS: Tweede Divisie - Round 7

Date: 28 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel (Rotterdam)


	Jong Sparta Rotterdam		ADO 20 Heemskerk

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.75	5.25
	1.37	4.9	6
	1.38	5.13	5.53
	1.41	5.32	5.94	Watch
	1.36	4.85	6.36
	1.37	4.9	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.51)	4.98 ↑ (4.5)	5.85 ↑ (4.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jong Sparta Rotterdam
66%

Draw
18.3%

ADO 20 Heemskerk
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

20.2%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

17%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jong Sparta Rotterdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jong Sparta Rotterdam's performance.

ADO 20 Heemskerk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong Sparta Rotterdam than the current prediction. (-15.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jong Sparta Rotterdam that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADO 20 Heemskerk than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that ADO 20 Heemskerk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Jong Sparta Rotterdam - ADO 20 Heemskerk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Suur R. (G) 2. van Wageningen D. (C) 3. de Ligt M. 4. Mulumba G. 5. Vianello G. 6. Bynoe J. 8. el Dahri H. 10. Triep J. 7. Oufkir A. 9. Bal J. 11. Santos A.	22. Deen V. (G) 2. Schilling M. 12. Richard J. 19. Kroon S. (C) 27. Volkers L. 6. Carbaat T. 8. Glim F. 9. de Vre J. 30. George D. 11. Holtkamp S. 10. Helder J.
Substitutes
17. Bais A. 18. Kromah L. 19. Marhoum Y. 14. Neves M. S. 20. Tevreden D. (G) 15. van den Hoek K. 16. Vianello D.	25. de Haan L. (G) 20. de Wit L. 14. Lute D. 18. van Esveld J. 23. Venrooy L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Bal J. ⚽, Oufkir A. (A),
40', Glim F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', 1 - 1, de Vre J. ⚽,
64', Santos A. ↓, Kromah L. ↑,
73', Holtkamp S. ↓, Venrooy L. ↑,
73', George D. ↓, Lute D. ↑,
73', Richard J. ↓, Kaaijmolen N. ↑,
78', Oufkir A. ↓, Marhoum Y. ↑,
84', 1 - 2, Volkers L. ⚽, Carbaat T. (A),
86', Vianello G. ↓, Bais A. ↑,
87', Mulumba G. ↓, Vianello D. ↑,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jong Sparta Rotterdam
Dutch Tweede Divisie
21.09.24	Katwijk - Jong Sparta Rotterdam	2:4 ✺
14.09.24	Jong Sparta Rotterdam - ACV	0:2 ✺
07.09.24	Excelsior Maassluis - Jong Sparta Rotterdam	0:3 ✺
31.08.24	Jong Sparta Rotterdam - HHC Hardenberg	1:2 ✺
17.08.24	Jong Sparta Rotterdam - GVVV	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLWLL
- ADO 20 Heemskerk
Dutch KNVB Beker
24.09.24	Genemuiden - ADO 20 Heemskerk	1:0 ✺
Dutch Tweede Divisie
21.09.24	ADO 20 Heemskerk - Spakenburg	1:6 ✺
14.09.24	BVV Barendrecht - ADO 20 Heemskerk	5:1 ✺
08.09.24	ADO 20 Heemskerk - Koninklijke HFC	0:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
04.09.24	ADO 20 Heemskerk - DAW Schaijk	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Tweede Divisie
21.01.24	ADO 20 Heemskerk - Jong Sparta Rotterdam	1:5
26.08.23	Jong Sparta Rotterdam - ADO 20 Heemskerk	0:1

Jong Sparta Rotterdam - ADO 20 Heemskerk: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide