Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 22 August 2025, Friday


	ADO Den Haag		Zwolle

	1	X	2
	4.45	4.15	1.6
	4.2	4.24	1.61
	1.38	4.28	7.71	Watch
	4.06	4.37	1.68	Watch
	5.33	4.2	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.88 ↓ (5.43)	4.25 ↑ (4.1)	2.82 ↑ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ADO Den Haag
30.4%

Draw
27.8%

Zwolle
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.8%

22.2%

61.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.5%

21.7%

62.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ADO Den Haag has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in ADO Den Haag's performance.

Zwolle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zwolle might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ADO Den Haag than the current prediction. (-13.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ADO Den Haag that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zwolle than the current prediction. (+20.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zwolle could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

ADO Den Haag - Zwolle Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Den Haag will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Zwolle will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Den Haag (votes: 1 - 50%). Zwolle (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Zwolle (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Den Haag (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Zwolle (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nikiema K. (G) 26. de Ruijter I. 15. Hokke M. 14. Jimenez M. 25. Kilo J. 21. Peupion C. 19. Reischl L. 18. Sylla S. 2. van der Sloot S. 8. Vlak J. (C) 4. Waem M.	41. Verduin D. (G) 3. Aertssen O. 2. Floranus S. 4. Garcia MacNulty A. 10. Kostons K. 21. Lagsir S. 11. Mbayo D. 35. Monteiro J. 25. Oosting T. 23. Reijnders E. 30. Thomas R. (C)
Substitutes
. Bal 30. Brandt J. 16. de Bruin F. . Kigongo C. 29. Kramer C. (G) 12. Lanquetin P. 17. Mohammad E. 31. Payne D. . Puljhun S. 49. Silva-Richards R. 45. Tomas D.	40. Bakker L. (G) 29. Buitink T. 34. Fichtinger N. 28. Graves S. 26. Pereira da Gama J. 20. Reiziger G. 38. Renwarin G. 42. Ruward D. 33. van der Haar D. 39. Voute D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Vlak J. ⚽,
29', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
60', 🟨,
60', Nikiema K. ↓, Kramer C. ↑,
60', Vlak J. ↓, de Bruin F. ↑,
60', de Ruijter I. ↓, Payne D. ↑,
60', van der Sloot S. ↓, Bal J. ↑,
60', Jimenez M. ↓, Mohammad E. ↑,
64', 2 - 0, Bal J. ⚽,
70', Kilo J. ↓, Lanquetin P. ↑,
70', Peupion C. ↓, Brandt J. ↑,
70', Hokke M. ↓, Kigongo C. ↑,
70', Sylla S. ↓, Puljhun S. ↑,
77', 3 - 0, Bal J. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Den Haag won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Den Haag has had a series of home games.

In this match, Zwolle is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Den Haag won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 27:36. (average 1.4:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Den Haag won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.4:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ADO Den Haag
Dutch Eerste Divisie
18.08.25	Jong Utrecht - ADO Den Haag	2:2 ✺
10.08.25	ADO Den Haag - Willem II	5:1 ✺
Club Friendly
03.08.25	ADO Den Haag - Olympiacos Piraeus	2:3 ✺
29.07.25	ADO Den Haag - OFI	1:1 ✺
25.07.25	ADO Den Haag - Norwich City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TWLTT
- PEC Zwolle
Dutch Eredivisie
15.08.25	Telstar - Zwolle	0:2 ✺
10.08.25	Zwolle - Twente	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Portsmouth - Zwolle	1:0 ✺
26.07.25	Zwolle - Rayo Vallecano	0:5 ✺
19.07.25	Zwolle - Dender EH	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWLL?

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
17.02.23	ADO Den Haag - Zwolle	3:1
16.09.22	Zwolle - ADO Den Haag	1:2
Dutch Eredivisie
09.05.21	Zwolle - ADO Den Haag	0:1
23.12.20	ADO Den Haag - Zwolle	0:2
10.05.20	ADO Den Haag - Zwolle	Canceled
20.10.19	Zwolle - ADO Den Haag	3:1
15.02.19	ADO Den Haag - Zwolle	1:0

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