The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
AEK Larnaca 47.2%
Draw 27.7%
Apollon Limassol 25.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.3%
24.7%
31%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.4%
24.1%
30.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AEK Larnaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
Apollon Limassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Apollon Limassol might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEK Larnaca than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Apollon Limassol than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Apollon Limassol could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
AEK Larnaca - Apollon Limassol Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
92. Paleari A. (G) 11. Bajic R. 22. Ekpolo G. 9. Ivanovic D. 23. Kohler S. 15. Milicevic H. (C) 29. Naoum G. 5. Olivan B. 6. Pankov I. 20. Repas J. 3. van der Hoorn M.
22. Kuhn P. (G) 4. Aiwu E. 29. Asoro J. 38. Balogiannis K. 5. Brown M. 30. Escriche D. 76. Gaspar B. 44. Kvida J. 23. Thomas B. 99. Ugbo I. 27. Weissbeck G.
Substitutes
44. Adoni Z. 33. Andereggen N. 99. Demetriou D. (G) 2. Ioannou P. 14. Layouni A. 7. Ledes Gustavo 21. Miramon 28. Mrabti K. 1. Muftic V. (G) 4. Saborit E.
12. Assuncao G. . Avgousti . Chima 90. Marneros C. . Nikolaou 9. Ozbolt A. . Papastylianou 31. Stylianou K. (G) . Uthman
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
21', 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
55', 🟨,
64', 1 - 0, Bajic R. ⚽,
66', 2 - 0, ⚽,
85', 🟨,
90+3', 3 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AEK Larnaca won 2.
AEK Larnaca has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by Apollon Limassol have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
AEK Larnaca may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with AEK Larnaca holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, AEK Larnaca has recorded 10 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 29:18 (averaging 1.5:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for AEK Larnaca against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 15:8 goals (averaging 1.7:0.9 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Apollon Limassol - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 31.01%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.
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Paleari A. (G) 
Bajic R. 
Ekpolo G. 
Ivanovic D. 
Kohler S. 
Naoum G. 
Olivan B. 
Pankov I. 
Repas J. 
van der Hoorn M. 
Aiwu E. 
Asoro J. 
Balogiannis K. 
Brown M. 
Gaspar B. 
Kvida J. 
Ugbo I. 
Weissbeck G. 
Andereggen N. 
Layouni A. 
Ledes Gustavo 
Assuncao G. 
Avgousti 
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