The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nea Salamis 21.2%
Draw 25.6%
AEK Larnaca 53.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
19.5%
24.9%
55.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18.2%
26.7%
59.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nea Salamis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
AEK Larnaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nea Salamis than the current prediction. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Larnaca than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AEK Larnaca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Nea Salamis - AEK Larnaca Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
63. Kovacs D. (G) 17. Aldair 27. Confais A. 71. Gerolemou G. 10. Giousis C. 55. Gonzalez S. 29. Hanin F. 24. Lampropoulos V. (C) 9. Poveda D. 88. Quintilla J. 44. Viktoros G.
51. Paraskevas A. (G) 11. Bajic R. 9. Ivanovic D. 14. Layouni A. 7. Ledes Gustavo 15. Milicevic H. (C) 21. Miramon 6. Pankov I. 17. Pileas K. 20. Repas J. 4. Saborit E.
Substitutes
19. Angielski K. 8. Artiles J. 4. Artymatas P. 6. Christodoulou G. 7. Grandsir S. 25. Ilia K. 93. Konate B. 89. Louka P. 37. Manu B. M. 5. Michail A. 30. Panagiotou Filiotis A. 1. Varo A. (G)
44. Adoni Z. 33. Andereggen N. 10. Chacon Y. 22. Ekpolo G. 2. Ioannou P. 23. Kohler S. 25. Kyriakou C. 28. Mrabti K. 1. Muftic V. (G) 29. Naoum G. 19. Trica A. 3. van der Hoorn M.
Coaches
Lopez Perez M. A.
Selles R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
19', 0 - 1, Ivanovic D. ⚽,
30', Miramon 🟨,
34', 0 - 2, Ivanovic D. ⚽,
34', Confais A. ↓, Konate B. ↑,
38', Konate B. 🟨,
45', Saborit E. ↓, van der Hoorn M. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Aldair ↓, Angielski K. ↑,
46', Lampropoulos V. ↓, Artymatas P. ↑,
53', 0 - 3, Bajic R. ⚽,
54', Gerolemou G. ↓, Grandsir S. ↑,
57', Pankov I. ↓, Kohler S. ↑,
57', Layouni A. ↓, Chacon Y. ↑,
59', 0 - 4, Chacon Y. ⚽,
60', Poveda D. ↓, Manu B. M. ↑,
77', Repas J. ↓, Mrabti K. ↑,
77', Bajic R. ↓, Trica A. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 4, ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nea Salamis won 1.
Nea Salamis is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
In recent matches, AEK Larnaca has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Recently, Nea Salamis has had a series of home games.
In this match, AEK Larnaca is a strong favorite.
There will not play in AEK Larnaca: Cabrera E.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nea Salamis won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 15:22. (average 0.8:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Nea Salamis won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.1:1.1).