Match Info

Cyprus League - Round 5

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Referee: Kyriakos A. (Cyp)


	Krasava Ypsonas		AEK Larnaca

	1	X	2
	5.3	3.6	1.6
	5.62	3.7	1.64
	5.24	3.59	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.39 ↑ (4.59)	3.63 ↑ (3.55)	1.63 ↓ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Krasava Ypsonas
17.3%

Draw
25.7%

AEK Larnaca
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.3%

26.2%

53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.3%

25%

51%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Krasava Ypsonas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

AEK Larnaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krasava Ypsonas than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEK Larnaca than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AEK Larnaca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Krasava Ypsonas - AEK Larnaca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
91. Zadro M. (G) 28. Bahassa Y. 29. Chebake I. (C) 5. Christodoulou I. 4. Da Graca K. 23. de Iriondo M. 3. de Lucas L. 10. Do Couto M. 32. Kyriakou E. 6. Pankov I. 7. Trujic N.	1. Alomerovic Z. (G) 11. Bajic R. 22. Ekpolo G. 9. Ivanovic D. 23. Izquierdo J. 7. Ledes Gustavo 15. Milicevic H. (C) 17. Pons P. 8. Rohden M. 10. Rubio W. 4. Saborit E.
Substitutes
42. Addo V. 75. Avramenko Y. (G) 12. Bah A. 9. Budnik E. 16. Davidyan E. 20. Lipski P. 18. Melnichenko D. 78. Ovsyannikov D. 1. Priniotaki D. (G) 77. Thiago 44. Trdan M. 8. Yebli C.	20. Amyn Y. 18. Chacon Y. 99. Demetriou D. (G) 37. Gerasimou D. 93. Gnali J. 2. Ioannou P. 41. Mathias Gonzalez 21. Miramon 29. Naoum G. 51. Paraskevas A. (G) 27. Roberge V. 35. Thoma C.
Coaches
Janevski C.	Idiakez I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Bajic R. ⚽,
45+4', Christodoulou I. 🟨,
45+5', 0 - 2, Milicevic H. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Kyriakou E. ↓, Bah A. ↑,
56', Bahassa Y. 🟨,
57', Milicevic H. 🟨,
59', Chebake I. 🟥,
59', 🟨,
62', Rubio W. 🟨,
63', Trujic N. ↓, Yebli C. ↑,
63', Bahassa Y. ↓, Lipski P. ↑,
64', Izquierdo J. 🟨,
66', Pons P. ↓, Chacon Y. ↑,
66', Rubio W. ↓, Amyn Y. ↑,
71', 0 - 3, Chacon Y. ⚽,
73', Ivanovic D. ↓, Miramon ↑,
73', Izquierdo J. ↓, Gnali J. ↑,
81', de Iriondo M. ↓, Budnik E. ↑,
83', 0 - 4, Bajic R. ⚽,
84', Rohden M. ↓, Mathias Gonzalez ↑,
84', Do Couto M. ↓, Davidyan E. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Cyprus League (Championship Group: ) and 7 in the zone Cyprus League (Relegation Group: )).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

AEK Larnaca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, AEK Larnaca is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Krasava: Quintilla X. (Muscle Injury) Stylianou M. (Inactive) Yebli C. (Inactive)

There will not play in AEK Larnaca: Angielski K. (Inactive) Chacon Y. (Inactive) Garcia A. (Muscle Injury) Komar K. (Inactive) Rohden M. (Red Card)

There are questionable in AEK Larnaca: Jimmy Suarez (Inactive)

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Krasava Ypsonas
Cypriot First Division
19.09.25	Olympiacos Nicosia - Krasava Ypsonas	1:1 ✺
15.09.25	Krasava Ypsonas - Omonia Aradippou	2:0 ✺
29.08.25	Apollon Limassol - Krasava Ypsonas	0:3 ✺
24.08.25	Krasava Ypsonas - APOEL	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
13.08.25	Nea Salamis - Krasava Ypsonas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 TWWLL
- AEK Larnaca
Cypriot First Division
22.09.25	AEK Larnaca - Aris Limassol	3:2 ✺
17.09.25	Omonia - AEK Larnaca	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Anorthosis - AEK Larnaca	1:1 ✺
31.08.25	AEK Larnaca - AEL Limassol	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.08.25	AEK Larnaca - Brann	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLTWL

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