The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
AEK Larnaca 53.4%
Draw 24.8%
Paksi SE 21.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.4%
26.2%
24.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.5%
25.2%
25.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AEK Larnaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
Paksi SE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEK Larnaca than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AEK Larnaca that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paksi SE than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75.8%
3.2%
21%
AEK Larnaca - Paksi SE Predictions
Users Predictions:
61 users predict this event. AEK Larnaca will win (votes: 47 - 77%). Paks will win (votes: 12 - 19.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 3.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for AEK Larnaca: 66.4% โ 87.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Alomerovic Z. (G) 28. Sanchez F. 22. Ekpolo G. 27. Roberge V. 14. Garcia A. (C) 8. Rohden M. 6. Jimmy Suarez 11. Faraj I. 10. Diemers M. 16. Gama B. 19. Cabrera E.
1. Szappanos P. (G) 11. Osvath A. 23. Otvos B. 12. Vas G. 24. Lenzser B. 30. Szabo J. (C) 22. Windecker J. 5. Vecsei B. 21. Papp K. 29. Toth B. 10. Haraszti Z.
Substitutes
30. Andreou H. 23. Demetriou M. 24. Henriques D. 34. Kapsis A. 15. Milicevic H. 29. Naoum G. 51. Paraskevas A. (G) 42. Petousis M. 20. Santos 9. Sol F. 38. Toumpas I. (G) 47. Vassiliou D.
8. Balogh B. 13. Bode D. 31. Borsos V. (G) 77. Gevay Z. 17. Kocsis B. 20. Kovacs K. 26. Mezei S. 14. Silye E. 25. Simon B. (G) 7. Skribek A. 27. Szabo B. 15. Zimonyi D.
Coaches
Ferrando J.
Bognar G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
19', 0 - 1, Haraszti Z. ⚽,
19', Cabrera E. 🟨,
35', Garcia A. 🟨,
37', Osvath A. 🟨,
42', 0 - 2, Papp K. ⚽, Osvath A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sanchez F. ↓, Milicevic H. ↑,
59', Rohden M. ↓, Naoum G. ↑,
59', Cabrera E. ↓, Sol F. ↑,
59', Haraszti Z. ↓, Szabo B. ↑,
59', Toth B. ↓, Bode D. ↑,
67', Faraj I. ↓, Santos ↑,
73', Vas G. 🟨,
74', Papp K. ↓, Balogh B. ↑,
77', Gama B. ↓, Demetriou M. ↑,
81', Osvath A. ↓, Kovacs K. ↑,
81', Windecker J. ↓, Silye E. ↑,
Preview
2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-3.
AEK Larnaca has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Paksi SE is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
AEK Larnaca could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently AEK Larnaca have a series of guest games.
In this match AEK Larnaca is a favorite.
Last 1 head-to-head matches AEK Larnaca won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.