Match Info

Europa League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 July 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: AEK Arena (Larnaca) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Karlsen J. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:30	Arena Sport 1
Cyprus	19:30	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1
Serbia	18:30	Arena Premium 3, RTS 1
Slovakia	18:30	Arena sport 1
Slovenia	18:30	Sport TV1


	AEK Larnaca		Partizan

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.1	6.5	Watch
	1.78	3.4	5
	1.62	3.55	5.4	Watch
	1.46	4.24	6.9
				Watch
	1.73	3.3	4.6
	1.64	3.6	6.07
	1.85	3.25	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (2)	3.63 ↑ (3.43)	5.53 ↑ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AEK Larnaca
57.2%

Draw
25.8%

Partizan
17%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.7%

27.1%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AEK Larnaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AEK Larnaca's performance.

Partizan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Partizan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.2%	8.9%	6.9%

AEK Larnaca - Partizan Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH -1.5 - AEK Larnaca (2.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: AEK Larnaca will win (84 of 98 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.78% – 92.64%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): AEK Larnaca will win (43 of 46 users predict this - 93.48%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 47 Selected Experts predict this event. AEK Larnaca (votes: 44 - 93.6%). Tie (votes: 3 - 6.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alomerovic Z. (G) 22. Ekpolo G. 15. Milicevic H. 27. Roberge V. 14. Garcia A. (C) 17. Pons P. 7. Ledes Gustavo 8. Rohden M. 18. Chacon Y. 10. Rubio W. 30. Cabrera E.	1. Milosevic M. (G) 30. Roganovic M. 24. Djurdjevic V. 5. Milovanovic M. 4. Jurcevic M. 36. Ugresic O. 6. Dragojevic V. 15. Kalulu A. 10. Natcho B. (C) 32. Trifunovic N. 7. Milosevic J.
Substitutes
19. Angielski K. 24. Danny Henriques 99. Demetriou D. (G) 44. Evripidou K. 93. Gnali J. 2. Ioannou P. 9. Ivanovic D. 6. Jimmy Suarez 36. Loukaidis C. 41. Mathias Gonzalez 21. Miramon 51. Paraskevas A. (G)	90. Alilovic Z. 70. Jankovic D. 42. Jovanovic D. 28. Karabelyov Y. 9. Kostic A. 99. Kostic B. 31. Krunic M. (G) 33. Petrovic S. 19. Seck D. 40. Simic N. 2. Stojkovic A. 11. Vukotic M.
Coaches
Idiakez I.	Blagojevic S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Roganovic M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', Garcia A. ↓, Gnali J. ↑,
66', Ugresic O. ↓, Karabelyov Y. ↑,
66', Milovanovic M. ↓, Simic N. ↑,
67', 1 - 0, Cabrera E. ⚽, Ledes Gustavo (A),
74', Milosevic J. ↓, Kostic A. ↑,
74', Natcho B. ↓, Vukotic M. ↑,
75', Rohden M. ↓, Miramon ↑,
75', Cabrera E. ↓, Angielski K. ↑,
78', Pons P. 🟨,
86', Trifunovic N. ↓, Kostic B. ↑,
87', Chacon Y. ↓, Jimmy Suarez ↑,
87', Rubio W. ↓, Ivanovic D. ↑,
90+7', Simic N. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Partizan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, AEK Larnaca is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, AEK Larnaca won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, AEK Larnaca won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AEK Larnaca
Club Friendly
02.07.25	Anderlecht - AEK Larnaca	2:2 ✺
28.06.25	AEK Larnaca - Seraing	3:3 ✺
25.06.25	Westerlo - AEK Larnaca	1:3 ✺
Cypriot Cup
24.05.25	AEK Larnaca - Paphos	1:0 penalties ✺
Cypriot First Division
18.05.25	Paphos - AEK Larnaca	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 TTWWL
- FK Partizan
Club Friendly
04.07.25	Dynamo Moscow - Partizan	3:1 ✺
01.07.25	CSKA Moscow - Partizan	3:1 ✺
Serbian Superliga
25.05.25	Partizan - Vojvodina	3:2 ✺
17.05.25	Mladost Lučani - Partizan	0:4 ✺
11.05.25	Partizan - Bačka Topola	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
11.08.22	Partizan - AEK Larnaca	2:2
04.08.22	AEK Larnaca - Partizan	2:1

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