Match Info

Cyprus League - Championship Group - Round 30

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Stelios Kyriakides Stadium (Pafos)

Referee: Karlsen J. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 1, Cablenet Sports 1
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 5


	Paphos		AEK Larnaca

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.25	3.3
	2.1	3.51	3.62
	2.03	3.49	3.51	Watch
	2	3.1	3.3
	2.02	3.36	3.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.08)	3.34 ↓ (3.49)	3.46 ↑ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paphos
45.4%

Draw
27.8%

AEK Larnaca
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

26.7%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

26.8%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paphos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

AEK Larnaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paphos than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Larnaca than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Paphos - AEK Larnaca Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Paphos will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Paphos (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gorter J. (G) 50. Brito A. 30. Dragomir V. (C) 19. Guessand A. 14. Ioannou N. 11. Jaja 18. Lele 23. Luckassen D. 21. Mimovic O. 12. Sema K. 26. Sunjic I.	1. Alomerovic Z. (G) 11. Bajic R. 22. Ekpolo G. 13. Gurfinkel Y. 2. Ioannou P. 9. Ivanovic D. 7. Ledes Gustavo 15. Milicevic H. (C) 21. Miramon 17. Pons P. 8. Rohden M.
Substitutes
33. Anderson Silva 9. Bassouamina M. 7. Bruno 80. Dani Silva 42. Michael G. 20. Odefalk W. 99. Papadoudis A. (G) 88. Pepe 82. Petrou P. (G) 2. Pileas K. 8. Quina D. 71. Skafi G.	86. Cardero A. 14. Garcia A. 23. Izquierdo J. 12. Komar K. (G) 25. Kyriakou C. 36. Loukaidis C. 41. Mathias Gonzalez 32. Mudrazija R. 29. Naoum G. 51. Paraskevas A. (G)
Coaches
Celades A.	Rozada J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Jaja ⚽,
35', Jaja 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Brito A. 🟨,
61', Ioannou P. 🟨,
63', Miramon ↓, Cardero A. ↑,
63', Gurfinkel Y. ↓, Izquierdo J. ↑,
65', Jaja ↓, Pepe ↑,
65', Lele ↓, Bassouamina M. ↑,
74', Ioannou P. ↓, Kyriakou C. ↑,
80', Brito A. ↓, Dani Silva ↑,
82', Gorter J. 🟨,
84', Pons P. ↓, Mudrazija R. ↑,
84', Ledes Gustavo ↓, Naoum G. ↑,
89', 1 - 1, Mudrazija R. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paphos won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

AEK Larnaca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Paphos has had a series of away games.

Paphos might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in AEK Larnaca: Amyn Y. (Hamstring Injury) Cabrera E. (Knee Injury) Chacon Y. (Knee Injury) Saborit E. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Paphos: Goldar D. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Paphos won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:21. (average 1.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Paphos won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.2:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	AEK Larnaca	4	3	0	1	9:4	5	9
4	Pafos	4	2	1	1	4:2	2	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paphos FC
Cypriot First Division
14.04.26	Aris Limassol - Paphos	1:1 ✺
Cypriot Cup
08.04.26	AEL Limassol - Paphos	1:2 ✺
Cypriot First Division
04.04.26	Omonia - Paphos	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Paphos - Apollon Limassol	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Akritas Chlorakas - Paphos	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TWLTW
- AEK Larnaca
Cypriot First Division
14.04.26	AEK Larnaca - Omonia	0:2 ✺
05.04.26	Apollon Limassol - AEK Larnaca	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	AEK Larnaca - APOEL	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
19.03.26	AEK Larnaca - Crystal Palace	1:2 ET ✺
Cypriot First Division
16.03.26	Ethnikos Achna - AEK Larnaca	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Cypriot First Division
25.01.26	Paphos - AEK Larnaca	1:2
Cypriot Super Cup
30.10.25	Paphos - AEK Larnaca	1:2 penalties
Cypriot First Division
05.10.25	AEK Larnaca - Paphos	2:4
Cypriot Cup
24.05.25	AEK Larnaca - Paphos	1:0 penalties
Cypriot First Division
18.05.25	Paphos - AEK Larnaca	2:0
13.04.25	AEK Larnaca - Paphos	2:2
22.12.24	Paphos - AEK Larnaca	0:1

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