Match Info

Super League 2 - Promotion Group - Round 6

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Greece	SKAI


	AEL Larissa		Iraklis

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.3	5
	1.65	3.55	5.2
	1.66	3.49	5.06	Watch
	1.64	3.44	5.08
	1.65	3.55	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.89)	3.47 ↑ (3.18)	5.11 ↑ (4.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AEL Larissa
55.6%

Draw
26.4%

Iraklis
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

29.3%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

32.4%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AEL Larissa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AEL Larissa's performance.

Iraklis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEL Larissa than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iraklis than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

AEL Larissa - Iraklis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Vafeas N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', 1 - 1, Tsirigotis T. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Larissa won 3.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Larissa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Larissa is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Larissa won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 18:14 (average 1.3:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Larissa won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:7 (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AEL Larissa
Greek Super League 2
15.03.25	AEL Larissa - Makedonikos	3:0 ✺
09.03.25	PAS Giannina - AEL Larissa	1:1 ✺
01.03.25	AEL Larissa - Kampaniakos	4:1 ✺
23.02.25	Iraklis - AEL Larissa	2:2 ✺
01.02.25	PAS Giannina - AEL Larissa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WTWTT
- Iraklis Thessalonikis
Greek Super League 2
23.03.25	Makedonikos - Iraklis	1:2 ✺
15.03.25	Iraklis - PAS Giannina	2:2 ✺
09.03.25	Kampaniakos - Iraklis	0:3 ✺
23.02.25	Iraklis - AEL Larissa	2:2 ✺
01.02.25	Iraklis - Kampaniakos	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Greek Super League 2
23.02.25	Iraklis - AEL Larissa	2:2
14.12.24	Iraklis - AEL Larissa	1:2
12.10.24	AEL Larissa - Iraklis	3:0
07.01.24	Iraklis - AEL Larissa	1:1
11.10.23	AEL Larissa - Iraklis	1:0
29.04.23	Iraklis - AEL Larissa	1:1
18.12.22	AEL Larissa - Iraklis	0:2

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