Match Info

Cyprus League - Round 3

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday

Location: Alphamega Stadium (Kolossi)

Referee: Fotiou K. (Cyp)


	AEL Limassol		Nea Salamis

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.20	3.75
	1.89	3.20	3.20
	2.03	3.44	3.99
	1.98	3.39	3.78	Watch
	1.89	3.40	3.95
	1.83	3.36	4.41	Watch
	1.85	3.25	4.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.06)	3.32 ↓ (3.47)	3.87 ↑ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AEL Limassol
48.4%

Draw
27.8%

Nea Salamis
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

26.9%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

25.8%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AEL Limassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Nea Salamis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEL Limassol than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nea Salamis than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

AEL Limassol - Nea Salamis Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. AEL will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kapino S. (G) 33. Antoniou E. 9. Jovetic S. 77. Mughe F. R. 22. Neofytou K. 10. Oudin R. 23. Ribeiro Gomes D. M. 35. Sergio Conceicao 11. Singh L. 80. Tavares J. 20. Tavares J.	1. Varo A. (G) 8. Artiles J. 4. Artymatas P. (C) 6. Christodoulou G. 10. Giousis C. 55. Gonzalez S. 7. Grandsir S. 29. Hanin F. 93. Konate B. 89. Louka P. 44. Viktoros G.
Substitutes
14. Christofi S. 4. Denswil S. . Karamanis A. 2. Karo A. 70. Kyriacou K. 98. Kyriakou P. (G) 74. Merzouk S. (G) 30. Papageorgiou G. 17. Paroutis D. 26. Peti Peti J. 6. Zdravkovski D.	17. Aldair 19. Angielski K. 47. Dimitriou A. . Epifaniou K. 25. Ilia K. 63. Kovacs D. (G) 37. Manu B. M. 5. Michail A. 30. Panagiotou Filiotis A. 9. Poveda D. 88. Quintilla J. 16. Vakulyk D. (G)
Coaches
Martins H.	Lopez Perez M. A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', Konate B. 🟨,
34', Tavares J. 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Sergio Conceicao ⚽,
44', Ribeiro Gomes D. M. 🟨,
45+2', (Penalty Awarded),
45+2', Oudin R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Tavares J. ↓, Zdravkovski D. ↑,
50', Neofytou K. 🟨,
53', 1 - 1, Grandsir S. ⚽,
54', Antoniou E. 🟨,
54', Louka P. 🟨,
55', Louka P. ↓, Angielski K. ↑,
55', Konate B. ↓, Quintilla J. ↑,
58', Viktoros G. ↓, Panagiotou Filiotis A. ↑,
67', Christodoulou G. 🟨,
69', Angielski K. 🟨,
73', Christodoulou G. ↓, Ilia K. ↑,
73', Grandsir S. ↓, Aldair ↑,
76', Neofytou K. ↓, Papageorgiou G. ↑,
82', Tavares J. ↓, Paroutis D. ↑,
88', Mughe F. R. ↓, Karamanis A. ↑,
90+4', Angielski K. 🟥,
90+5', Aldair 🟨,
90+6', 2 - 1, Ribeiro Gomes D. M. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AEL won 3.

AEL is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Nea Salamis has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Nea Salamis has had a series of home games.

AEL is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in AEL: Catakovic H. (Inactive) Gomis Y. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, AEL won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:25. (average 1.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, AEL won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:11. (average 2:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	AEL Limassol	4	3	0	1	6:7	-1	9
11	Nea Salamis	4	1	1	2	8:9	-1	4

Last Results with these Odds

AEL Limassol - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 45.35%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AEL Limassol
Cypriot First Division
06.09.26	APOEL - AEL Limassol	6:0 ✺
30.08.26	AEL Limassol - Anorthosis	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
22.08.26	AEL Limassol - Aris Limassol	2:2 ✺
19.08.26	Krasava Ypsonas - AEL Limassol	0:4 ✺
06.08.26	AEL Limassol - Atromitos Athens	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWTWW
- Nea Salamis
Cypriot First Division
06.09.26	Nea Salamis - AEK Larnaca	1:4 ✺
28.08.26	Olympiacos Nicosia - Nea Salamis	3:3 ✺
Club Friendly
22.08.26	Nea Salamis - Apollon Limassol	3:1 ✺
14.08.26	Nea Salamis - Krasava Ypsonas	7:2 ✺
12.08.26	Nea Salamis - Anorthosis	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Cypriot First Division
12.04.25	Nea Salamis - AEL Limassol	1:3
24.01.25	AEL Limassol - Nea Salamis	0:0
21.10.24	Nea Salamis - AEL Limassol	0:2
Club Friendly
11.08.24	Nea Salamis - AEL Limassol	1:1
Cypriot First Division
24.04.24	AEL Limassol - Nea Salamis	5:4
11.03.24	Nea Salamis - AEL Limassol	1:1
01.02.24	AEL Limassol - Nea Salamis	3:1

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