Match Info

Cyprus League - Round 5

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Alphamega Stadium (Kolossi) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Theouli C. (Cyp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Cyprus	19:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1


	AEL Limassol		Omonia 29is Maiou

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.90	4.60
	1.48	3.70	4.80
	1.61	4.02	5.32
	1.62	3.95	5.1	Watch
	1.59	3.95	5.10
	1.59	3.84	5.56	Watch
	1.59	3.85	4.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.69)	3.89 ↑ (3.74)	5.03 ↑ (4.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AEL Limassol
58.1%

Draw
23.6%

Omonia 29is Maiou
18.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.2%

24.9%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

23.8%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AEL Limassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Omonia 29is Maiou has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEL Limassol than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Omonia 29is Maiou than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

AEL Limassol - Omonia 29is Maiou Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kapino S. (G) 33. Antoniou E. 9. Jovetic S. 77. Mughe F. R. 22. Neofytou K. 10. Oudin R. 30. Papageorgiou G. 23. Ribeiro Gomes D. M. 11. Singh L. 20. Tavares J. 6. Zdravkovski D. (C)	98. Uzoho F. (G) 45. Ambri S. 44. Chantakias D. 20. Fiakas S. (C) 10. Mike Morais 22. Nwakali K. 15. Panteli S. 16. Pattichis K. 19. Portales A. 30. Senic M. 17. Zachariou P.
Substitutes
4. Denswil S. 99. Geoffrey C. 84. Karamani C. 2. Karo A. 70. Kyriacou K. 98. Kyriakou P. (G) 74. Merzouk S. (G) 19. Milosavljevic I. 17. Paroutis D. 35. Sergio Conceicao 80. Tavares J.	14. Andreou H. 26. Antoniou M. 8. Aristotelous C. 89. Crnigoj D. 77. dos Santos L. 1. Grammatikakis N. (G) 4. Kaiafas A. 43. Mavrantonis A. (G) 46. Sotiriou M. 11. Tierney F. 5. Tsoukalas S. 27. Vlachomitros A.
Coaches
Martins H.	Buyse F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Mughe F. R. ↓, Tavares J. ↑,
52', Chantakias D. ↓, Kaiafas A. ↑,
52', Zachariou P. ↓, Tierney F. ↑,
59', 1 - 0, Tavares J. ⚽,
62', Tavares J. ↓, Geoffrey C. ↑,
62', Neofytou K. ↓, Milosavljevic I. ↑,
66', 1 - 1, Tierney F. ⚽,
71', Mike Morais ↓, Crnigoj D. ↑,
71', Nwakali K. ↓, Vlachomitros A. ↑,
74', Singh L. ↓, Sergio Conceicao ↑,
76', Panteli S. ↓, dos Santos L. ↑,
81', 2 - 1, Oudin R. ⚽,
89', Fiakas S. 🟨,
90+5', Jovetic S. ↓, Karo A. ↑,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Cyprus League (Championship Group: ) and 8th in the Cyprus League (Relegation Group: )).

AEL has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Omonia 29is Maiou has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).

In this matchup, AEL is considered the favorite to take the win.

Confirmed absences for Omonia 29is Maiou: Facu (Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for AEL: Almeida B. (Inactive) Milosavljevic I. (Inactive).

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, AEL has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:3 (averaging 2.7:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for AEL against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	AEL Limassol	7	5	0	2	11:11	0	15
8	Omonia 29th May	7	2	2	3	12:13	-1	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AEL Limassol
Cypriot First Division
18.09.26	Paphos - AEL Limassol	0:2 ✺
11.09.26	AEL Limassol - Nea Salamis	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	APOEL - AEL Limassol	6:0 ✺
30.08.26	AEL Limassol - Anorthosis	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
22.08.26	AEL Limassol - Aris Limassol	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 WWLWT
- Omonia 29is Maiou
Cypriot First Division
18.09.26	Omonia 29is Maiou - AEK Larnaca	1:2 ✺
13.09.26	Olympiacos Nicosia - Omonia 29is Maiou	3:3 ✺
04.09.26	Omonia 29is Maiou - Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion	2:2 ✺
28.08.26	Krasava Ypsonas - Omonia 29is Maiou	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
21.08.26	AEK Larnaca - Omonia 29is Maiou	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Cypriot First Division
30.03.25	Omonia 29is Maiou - AEL Limassol	0:3
14.12.24	AEL Limassol - Omonia 29is Maiou	1:1
24.08.24	Omonia 29is Maiou - AEL Limassol	2:4

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