Match Info

SWEDEN: SUPERETTAN - ROUND 5

Date: 2 May 2023, Tuesday

Location: Olympia (Helsingborg)

Referee: Aganovic A. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+


	Helsingborg		GAIS

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.4	2.1	Watch
	3.25	3.2	2.1
	3.3	3.35	2.1
	3.41	3.43	2.18
	3.2	3.1	2.1	Watch
	3.34	3.3	2.12	Watch
	3.1	3.3	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (2.49)	3.3 ↓ (3.38)	2.12 ↓ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Helsingborg
28.5%

Draw
28%

GAIS
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

27.6%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

27.6%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Helsingborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Helsingborg's form might have worsened.

GAIS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting GAIS's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Helsingborg than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Helsingborg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for GAIS than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for GAIS, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	19%	66.7%

Helsingborg - GAIS Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Helsingborg will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). GAIS will win (votes: 14 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 19%).
Confidence interval (95%) for GAIS: 46.5% – 86.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Allsvenskan (Promotion: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Helsingborg won 2.

Helsingborg has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

GAIS is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

GAIS will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's GAIS to win the game is with odds 2.17.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Helsingborg won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Helsingborg won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Helsingborg IF
Swedish Superettan
22.04.23	Brage - Helsingborg	1:0 ✺
15.04.23	Helsingborg - Västerås SK	0:1 ✺
10.04.23	Gefle - Helsingborg	1:0 ✺
04.04.23	Helsingborg - Öster	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
25.03.23	Helsingborg - AIK	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- GAIS
Swedish Superettan
22.04.23	GAIS - Landskrona	2:0 ✺
16.04.23	Utsikten - GAIS	1:2 ✺
07.04.23	GAIS - Brage	3:0 ✺
02.04.23	Östersund - GAIS	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
11.03.23	GAIS - Helsingborg	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
11.03.23	GAIS - Helsingborg	1:0
Swedish Superettan
26.10.21	Helsingborg - GAIS	0:1
23.05.21	GAIS - Helsingborg	0:1
29.09.18	GAIS - Helsingborg	1:1
08.05.18	Helsingborg - GAIS	2:1
20.08.17	Helsingborg - GAIS	1:0
22.04.17	GAIS - Helsingborg	0:0

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