Match Info

Division 1 - Södra - Round 26

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Hyllie IP (Malmö) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Sweden	16:00	Ettan Play


	AFC Malmö		Skövde AIK

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.53	4.00	4.75
	1.50	4.10	4.70
	1.58	4.27	4.91
	1.56	4.44	4.92	Watch
	1.54	4.20	4.85
	1.53	4.15	4.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.49)	4.19 ↓ (4.25)	4.81 ↓ (5.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AFC Malmö
59.3%

Draw
21.8%

Skövde AIK
19%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.9%

21.3%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

20.9%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Malmö has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Skövde AIK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Malmö than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Skövde AIK than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

AFC Malmö - Skövde AIK Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Brandin O. (G) 22. Alievski E. 36. Bjorkqvist M. 9. Bohman F. 19. Fatahi M. 8. Harletun K. 2. Karim S. 21. Martinsson F. 6. Nouri B. 10. Reuterskiold A. 3. Sjostrand Bjurnemark A. (C)	25. Ibrahimovic A. (G) 4. Basic A. (C) 2. Elofsson G. 3. Johnson S. 10. Nordstrom E. 8. Nygaard A. 11. Samuelsson L. 7. Skillermo E. 16. Sodeliden A. 6. Strom E. 14. Svensson L.
Substitutes
7. Kohler N. 5. Larsen L. 14. Minter Wettergren L. 37. Petrovic P. 17. Podrimcaku A. 99. Sener C. 25. Sjoberg J. (G)	9. Agerborn M. 18. Land L. 12. Linnarsson V. 22. Olofsson E. 13. Remmerfelt A. 30. Torstensson G. (G) 15. Yoro E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Sjostrand Bjurnemark A. ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, Nygaard A. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
57', Strom E. 🟨,
59', Strom E. ↓, Land L. ↑,
63', Fatahi M. ↓, Minter Wettergren L. ↑,
63', Harletun K. ↓, Sener C. ↑,
66', 1 - 2, (Own goal),
69', 2 - 2, Bohman F. ⚽, Nouri B. (A),
72', 3 - 2, Sener C. ⚽, Minter Wettergren L. (A),
73', Samuelsson L. ↓, Linnarsson V. ↑,
75', Alievski E. ↓, Podrimcaku A. ↑,
75', Reuterskiold A. ↓, Petrovic P. ↑,
76', Basic A. ↓, Agerborn M. ↑,
80', Bohman F. 🟨,
83', 4 - 2, Sener C. ⚽,
84', Bjorkqvist M. ↓, Kohler N. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 5th and 10th).

AFC Malmö is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Performances by Skövde have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Skövde may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, AFC Malmö has faced a series of away games on the road.

AFC Malmö carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, AFC Malmö has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:3 (averaging 2.3:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for AFC Malmö against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	AFC Malmo	28	12	8	8	52:42	10	44
11	Skovde AIK	28	8	11	9	36:45	-9	35

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Malmö
Swedish Division 1 Södra
02.10.26	Kristianstad - AFC Malmö	0:1 ✺
27.09.26	Eskilsminne - AFC Malmö	1:2 ✺
19.09.26	AFC Malmö - Utsikten	3:1 ✺
16.09.26	Hässleholm - AFC Malmö	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Tvååker - AFC Malmö	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWLT
- Skövde AIK
Swedish Division 1 Södra
03.10.26	Skövde AIK - Utsikten	3:2 ✺
26.09.26	Skövde AIK - Olympic	2:1 ✺
21.09.26	Jönköpings Södra - Skövde AIK	3:2 ✺
17.09.26	Skövde AIK - Trollhättan	1:3 ✺
12.09.26	Ängelholm - Skövde AIK	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Södra
23.05.26	Skövde AIK - AFC Malmö	0:4
07.09.25	AFC Malmö - Skövde AIK	1:1
10.05.25	Skövde AIK - AFC Malmö	2:2

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