Match Info

Date: 1 October 2022, Saturday


	AFC Malmö		Berga

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.6	3.25
	1.89	3.65	3.05
	1.97	3.97	3.13
	1.89	3.56	3.45
	1.9	3.75	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.02)	3.71 ↓ (4)	3.24 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AFC Malmö
47.6%

Draw
24.4%

Berga
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

22.7%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

24%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Malmö has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Berga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Malmö than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Berga than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

AFC Malmö - Berga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 ~ Norrland (Promotion Group) and 3).

Recent matches Ariana is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

IFK Berga in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ariana will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ariana won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Malmö
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
24.09.22	Räppe GoIF - AFC Malmö	2:4 ✺
17.09.22	AFC Malmö - Kristianstad	2:2 ✺
11.09.22	AFC Malmö - Balkan	2:3 ✺
03.09.22	Karlskrona - AFC Malmö	2:3 ✺
28.08.22	AFC Malmö - Nosaby	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WTLWL
- IFK Berga
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
24.09.22	Nosaby - Berga	1:3 ✺
17.09.22	Berga - Karlskrona	2:1 ✺
10.09.22	Berga - Hässleholm	1:0 ✺
03.09.22	Österlen - Berga	0:0 ✺
27.08.22	Berga - Asarum	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
18.06.22	Berga - AFC Malmö	0:2

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