Match Info

SWEDEN: DIVISION 1 - SÖDRA - ROUND 27

Date: 21 October 2023, Saturday


	AFC Malmö		Oddevold

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.75	3.8	1.55
	5.5	3.75	1.55	Watch
	4.75	3.89	1.65
	4.89	3.94	1.63
	4.75	3.82	1.59
	4.9	3.9	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.92 ↑ (3.61)	3.85 ↑ (3.3)	1.59 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AFC Malmö
18.6%

Draw
23.8%

Oddevold
57.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.8%

27.2%

48%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

26.6%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Malmö has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AFC Malmö's form might have worsened.

Oddevold has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oddevold's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Malmö than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AFC Malmö, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oddevold than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oddevold, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

AFC Malmö - Oddevold Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. van Herk M. (G) 21. Abuzayda S. 18. Andersson H. 2. Arnshed S. 20. Habibi A. (C) 34. Ibrahim U. 7. Khalid O. 16. Kowalski N. 24. Kurfi Amadi U. 5. Ullum P. 6. Yeboah E.	33. Ekman O. (G) 21. Almqvist A. 20. Engelbrektsson A. 4. Engelbrektsson P. 10. Kalludra L. 7. Karlin F. 12. Krezic D. 25. Mehovic K. (C) 6. Pettersson A. 5. Snibb A. 9. Tornblad L.
Substitutes
11. Amiri N. 30. Awad A. 94. Egly V. (G) 15. Frojdh S. 9. Hussein I. 23. Mehmed E. 10. Reuterskiold A.	14. Adahl C. 16. Bernhardtz N. 1. Ibrahimovic A. (G) 8. Iglicar O. 11. Lext C. 22. Moussa B. 18. Tilly H.

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Superettan).

Ariana is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Oddevold is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Oddevold is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ariana won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Malmö
Swedish Division 1 Södra
15.10.23	Ängelholm - AFC Malmö	4:0 ✺
07.10.23	AFC Malmö - Trollhättan	2:2 ✺
01.10.23	Olympic - AFC Malmö	1:0 ✺
23.09.23	AFC Malmö - Falkenberg	1:1 ✺
16.09.23	Ahlafors - AFC Malmö	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LTLTL
- IK Oddevold
Swedish Division 1 Södra
14.10.23	Oddevold - Norrby	3:2 ✺
07.10.23	Torn - Oddevold	0:1 ✺
30.09.23	Falkenberg - Oddevold	2:0 ✺
22.09.23	Oddevold - Ljungskile	1:0 ✺
17.09.23	Oddevold - Tvååker	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Södra
25.06.23	Oddevold - AFC Malmö	2:1

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