Match Info

SWEDEN: DIVISION 1 - SÖDRA - ROUND 22

Date: 16 September 2023, Saturday


	Ahlafors		AFC Malmö

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.1	3.75	2	Watch
	3.1	4.18	1.96
	3.13	3.8	1.99
	2.95	3.75	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↑ (2.78)	3.87 ↑ (3.2)	2 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ahlafors
30%

Draw
23.8%

AFC Malmö
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

28.1%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

28.4%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ahlafors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

AFC Malmö has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting AFC Malmö's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ahlafors than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Malmö than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AFC Malmö, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ahlafors - AFC Malmö Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Skanberg A. (G) 21. Andersson V. 18. Chidi A. 29. Clason R. 22. Edlund S. 3. Josefsson A. 15. Kocevski K. 20. Lindstrom J. 5. Oresjo H. 8. Tidstrand D. (C) 7. Zetterlund J.	1. Ellborg M. (G) 18. Andersson H. 2. Arnshed S. 5. Bunjaku G. 15. Frojdh S. 20. Habibi A. 9. Hussein I. 7. Khalid O. 16. Kowalski N. 10. Reuterskiold A. 6. Yeboah E.
Substitutes
14. Adan M. 30. Alexandersson M. (G) 4. Nilsson J. 10. Olsson P. 9. Samuelsson O. 16. Strandahl N. 11. Valtersson E.	8. Dahlberg F. 94. Egly V. (G) 19. Holmkvist T. 11. Hushmand E. 13. Kizito K. 23. Mehmed E. 14. Wettergren L.

Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Ahlafors is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Ariana is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ariana could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ariana will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ahlafors won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ahlafors IF
Swedish Division 1 Södra
09.09.23	Ängelholm - Ahlafors	1:1 ✺
02.09.23	Torn - Ahlafors	2:1 ✺
26.08.23	Ahlafors - Falkenberg	0:1 ✺
21.08.23	Norrby - Ahlafors	4:1 ✺
12.08.23	Ahlafors - Ljungskile	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TLLLT
- AFC Malmö
Swedish Division 1 Södra
09.09.23	AFC Malmö - Eskilsminne	2:1 ✺
01.09.23	Lunds - AFC Malmö	3:0 ✺
25.08.23	AFC Malmö - Torn	3:0 ✺
19.08.23	AFC Malmö - Tvååker	0:1 ✺
12.08.23	Oskarshamn - AFC Malmö	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Södra
03.06.23	AFC Malmö - Ahlafors	2:0

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