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Current Win Probability
AFC Toronto 45.5%
Draw 27.3%
Montreal Roses 27.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
37.8%
29.8%
32.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.7%
29.9%
32.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AFC Toronto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AFC Toronto's performance.
Montreal Roses has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Montreal Roses might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Toronto than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AFC Toronto that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montreal Roses than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Montreal Roses could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
18. D'Angelo S. (G) 94. Pickett V. 14. Rollins S. 24. Zadorsky S. 17. Katembo N. 4. Small N. (C) 16. Chisholm O. 10. Stratigakis S. 31. Barnett C. 11. Hunter K. 77. Rowe L.
1. Karpenko A. (G) 6. Seto A. 2. Cappadona L. 20. Sauve M. 12. Boychuk T. (C) 18. Bilbault C. 15. Minas C. 3. Whitaker H. 11. Alidou d'Anjou M. 10. Pechersky E. 9. Bennett E.
Substitutes
3. Brewster J. 12. Burns Z. 19. Cathro A. 13. Cota-Yarde S. (G) 21. Fontana M. 2. Lantaigne A. 7. Novak K. 28. Silano L. 5. Soto C.
26. Lambert G. (G) 22. Laroche A. (G) 24. Mbala O. 14. Monyard C. 7. Paquin N. 28. Pierre-Louis A. 23. Roy F. 19. Thibault L.
Coaches
Milanovic M.
Rositoiu R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', 0 - 1, Alidou d'Anjou M. (Penalty Awarded),
62', Bilbault C. ↓, Thibault L. ↑,
64', Chisholm O. ↓, Silano L. ↑,
64', Katembo N. ↓, Burns Z. ↑,
67', Minas C. ↓, Roy F. ↑,
67', Whitaker H. ↓, Pierre-Louis A. ↑,
73', Stratigakis S. ↓, Lantaigne A. ↑,
74', 0 - 2, Bennett E. ⚽,
84', Rowe L. ↓, Fontana M. ↑,
86', Pechersky E. ↓, Paquin N. ↑,
Preview
Toronto is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Montreal has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Toronto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
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D'Angelo S. (G) 
Katembo N. 
Small N. (C) 
Barnett C. 
Boychuk T. (C) 
Bilbault C. 
Cota-Yarde S. (G) 
Pierre-Louis A. 
Milanovic M. 
Rositoiu R. 
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