The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Calgary Wild 14.9%
Draw 19.7%
AFC Toronto 65.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
14.6%
18.7%
66.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
14%
17.9%
69.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Calgary Wild has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
AFC Toronto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calgary Wild than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Toronto than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Calgary Wild - AFC Toronto Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Talbert K. (G) 2. Stordy G. 5. Moore M. (C) 23. Otto T. 41. Pogarch M. 8. O'Neill S. 22. Boughton H. 18. Thurton S. 30. Stewart T. 99. Jones M. 4. Baucom J.
18. D'Angelo S. (G) 94. Pickett V. 14. Rollins S. 24. Zadorsky S. 17. Katembo N. 4. Small N. (C) 22. Uddenberg C. 7. Novak K. 31. Barnett C. 77. Rowe L. 11. Hunter K.
Substitutes
7. Boeckx C. 12. Frederique 11. James T. 15. Johnson K. 26. Keilty-Dilling S. (G) 16. Robertson J. 19. Stewart K.
3. Brewster J. 12. Burns Z. 19. Cathro A. 16. Chisholm O. 13. Cota-Yarde S. (G) 21. Fontana M. 2. Lantaigne A. 28. Silano L. 10. Stratigakis S.
Coaches
Blayney L.
Milanovic M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 4)
21', 0 - 1, Hunter K. ⚽, Rowe L. (A),
33', Stordy G. 🟥,
33', 0 - 2, Hunter K. (Penalty Awarded),
36', 0 - 3, Rowe L. ⚽,
37', Stewart T. ↓, James T. ↑,
41', 0 - 4, Barnett C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Pogarch M. ↓, Boeckx C. ↑,
46', Otto T. ↓, Frederique ↑,
54', Hunter K. 🟨,
58', 0 - 5, Rollins S. ⚽, Pickett V. (A),
66', Rowe L. ↓, Silano L. ↑,
66', Small N. ↓, Chisholm O. ↑,
67', Katembo N. ↓, Lantaigne A. ↑,
72', Hunter K. ↓, Fontana M. ↑,
75', Boughton H. ↓, Robertson J. ↑,
79', Uddenberg C. ↓, Stratigakis S. ↑,
82', Jones M. ↓, Stewart K. ↑,
90+1', 0 - 6, Novak K. ⚽, Stratigakis S. (A),
Preview
Calgary is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Toronto has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Toronto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Toronto is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Calgary won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:2.5).
Including home match between the teams, Calgary won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.