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Current Win Probability
Montreal Roses 35.4%
Draw 29.1%
AFC Toronto 35.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
38.1%
31%
31%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.1%
31%
31%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montreal Roses has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
AFC Toronto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montreal Roses than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Toronto than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Montreal Roses - AFC Toronto Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Karpenko A. (G) 6. Seto A. 2. Cappadona L. 20. Sauve M. (C) 18. Bilbault C. 3. Whitaker H. 15. Minas C. 11. Alidou d'Anjou M. 10. Pechersky E. 9. Bennett E. 7. Paquin N.
18. D'Angelo S. (G) 94. Pickett V. 14. Rollins S. 24. Zadorsky S. 17. Katembo N. 4. Small N. (C) 22. Uddenberg C. 10. Stratigakis S. 31. Barnett C. 77. Rowe L. 28. Silano L.
Substitutes
13. Badu E. 12. Boychuk T. 16. Brou A. 21. Harvey M. 4. Hill S. 26. Lambert G. (G) 28. Pierre-Louis A. 23. Roy F. 19. Thibault L.
12. Burns Z. 19. Cathro A. 13. Cota-Yarde S. (G) 21. Fontana M. 20. Hasenauer Z. 46. Istocki G. 2. Lantaigne A. 5. Soto C.
Coaches
Bard-Martel M.
Milanovic M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Whitaker H. ⚽, Bennett E. (A),
24', Rollins S. 🟨,
38', Bilbault C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Bilbault C. ↓, Thibault L. ↑,
59', Paquin N. ↓, Boychuk T. ↑,
71', Whitaker H. ↓, Pierre-Louis A. ↑,
75', Stratigakis S. ↓, Fontana M. ↑,
75', Katembo N. ↓, Burns Z. ↑,
75', Uddenberg C. ↓, Hasenauer Z. ↑,
79', 2 - 0, Pierre-Louis A. ⚽,
82', Pechersky E. ↓, Hill S. ↑,
82', 2 - 1, Rowe L. ⚽,
83', Small N. 🟨,
88', 2 - 2, Small N. ⚽, Pickett V. (A),
Preview
Montreal is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Toronto has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).
Including home match between the teams, Montreal won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.