The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
AFC Toronto 55.2%
Draw 22.7%
Ottawa Rapid 22.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
44.5%
25.7%
29.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45%
25.4%
29.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AFC Toronto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AFC Toronto's performance.
Ottawa Rapid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ottawa Rapid might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Toronto than the current prediction. (-10.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AFC Toronto that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ottawa Rapid than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ottawa Rapid could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
AFC Toronto - Ottawa Rapid Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
18. D'Angelo S. (G) 2. Lantaigne A. 14. Rollins S. 24. Zadorsky S. 17. Katembo N. 4. Small N. (C) 16. Chisholm O. 11. Hunter K. 31. Barnett C. 28. Silano L. 77. Rowe L.
1. Eriksson M. (G) 2. Haaland S. 11. Waite S. 33. Harris J. (C) 15. Golen N. 12. Melenhorst K. 13. Okobi-Okeoghene N. 10. Belzile F. 14. Lee Min-a 21. Forbes M. 22. Pridham D.
Substitutes
12. Burns Z. 19. Cathro A. 13. Cota-Yarde S. (G) 21. Fontana M. 20. Hasenauer Z. 5. Soto C. 10. Stratigakis S. 22. Uddenberg C. 23. Vilgrain J.
5. Amano E. 26. Bell E. 4. Chown H. 6. Crichton C. 30. Dagenais M. (G) 7. Fridlund J. 9. Wilkinson J.
Coaches
Milanovic M.
Pedersen K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, Silano L. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Okobi-Okeoghene N. ↓, Fridlund J. ↑,
49', 2 - 0, Silano L. ⚽, Small N. (A),
58', Pridham D. ↓, Bell E. ↑,
63', Chisholm O. ↓, Hasenauer Z. ↑,
64', Katembo N. ↓, Burns Z. ↑,
72', Haaland S. ↓, Crichton C. ↑,
72', Lee Min-a ↓, Wilkinson J. ↑,
78', Hunter K. ↓, Stratigakis S. ↑,
82', 3 - 0, Stratigakis S. ⚽,
85', Golen N. ↓, Chown H. ↑,
88', Small N. ↓, Uddenberg C. ↑,
88', Silano L. ↓, Fontana M. ↑,
Preview
Toronto is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Ottawa has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Ottawa may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Toronto is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Toronto has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 6:6 (averaging 1.5:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Toronto against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 3:3 goals (averaging 1.5:1.5 per game).
Canada
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D'Angelo S. (G) 
Katembo N. 
Small N. (C) 
Barnett C. 
Haaland S. 
Okobi-Okeoghene N. 
Lee Min-a 
Cota-Yarde S. (G) 
Uddenberg C. 
Vilgrain J. 
Milanovic M. 
Pedersen K. 
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