Match Info

Superliga - Round 17

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: New Vejlby Stadium (Aarhus)

Referee: Kristoffersen M. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Sporty TV
Denmark	TV3+, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
World	Sport 1 Baltic


	AGF Aarhus		Copenhagen

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.4	2.55	Watch
	2.45	3.5	2.7	Watch
	2.5	3.67	2.76
	2.92	3.27	2.44	Watch
	2.43	3.52	2.66	Watch
	2.4	3.6	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.78)	3.49 ↑ (3.3)	2.64 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AGF Aarhus
37.6%

Draw
26.8%

Copenhagen
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

28.4%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

29.3%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AGF Aarhus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Copenhagen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AGF Aarhus than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Copenhagen than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

AGF Aarhus - Copenhagen Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Aarhus will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Copenhagen will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aarhus: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Copenhagen (1.89) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Copenhagen (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hansen J. (G) 2. Beijmo F. 3. Dalsgaard H. 19. Kahl E. 29. Carstensen R. 6. Poulsen N. 7. Solbakken M. 11. Links G. 31. Bech T. 9. Mortensen P. 10. Arnstad K.	1. Kotarski D. (G) 20. Suzuki J. 5. Gabriel Pereira 6. Hatzidiakos P. 15. Lopez M. 36. Clem W. 21. Madsen M. 11. Larsson J. 10. Elyounoussi M. 16. Robert 14. Cornelius A.
Substitutes
39. Emmery F. 55. Haugstrup O. 40. Jensen-Abbew J. 8. Jorgensen S. 20. Kristjansson T. 13. Serra J. 27. Tchamche S. 22. Wahlstedt L. (G) 17. Yakob K.	7. Claesson V. 39. Dadason V. 27. Delaney T. 4. Garananga M. 24. Meling B. 9. Moukoko Y. 31. Runarsson R. A. (G) 22. Zague Y.
Coaches
Poulsen J.	Neestrup J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Mortensen P. ⚽, Arnstad K. (A),
30', Elyounoussi M. 🟨,
33', Kahl E. ↓, Jensen-Abbew J. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Arnstad K. 🟨,
54', Robert 🟨,
58', Gabriel Pereira 🟨,
58', Poulsen N. 🟨,
61', Clem W. ↓, Dadason V. ↑,
63', Hatzidiakos P. 🟨,
65', 2 - 0, Carstensen R. ⚽,
69', Poulsen N. ↓, Yakob K. ↑,
72', Larsson J. ↓, Claesson V. ↑,
82', Lopez M. ↓, Meling B. ↑,
82', Madsen M. ↓, Delaney T. ↑,
87', Mortensen P. ↓, Serra J. ↑,
87', Bech T. ↓, Jorgensen S. ↑,
87', Arnstad K. ↓, Tchamche S. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Superliga (Championship Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Superliga (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aarhus won 2.

Aarhus is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Copenhagen has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Copenhagen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Aarhus: Andersen J. (Knee Injury) Molgaard T. (Injury) Tingager F. (Injury)

There will not play in Copenhagen: Delaney T. (Knock) Hojer O. (Surgery) Huescas R. (Knee Injury) Lerager L. (Yellow Cards) Mattsson M. (Knee Injury) West L. (Injury)

There are questionable in Aarhus: Yakob K. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aarhus won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 31:41. (average 1.6:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Aarhus won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 1.3:1.9).

Last Results with these Odds

AGF Aarhus - the odds 2.78 are the expected chance of winning is 33.75%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AGF Aarhus
Danish Superliga
21.11.25	Silkeborg IF - AGF Aarhus	0:2 ✺
09.11.25	AGF Aarhus - SønderjyskE	2:3 ✺
03.11.25	Midtjylland - AGF Aarhus	1:1 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
29.10.25	AGF Aarhus - SønderjyskE	2:1 ✺
Danish Superliga
24.10.25	AGF Aarhus - Nordsjælland	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLTWW
- FC Copenhagen
UEFA Champions League
26.11.25	Copenhagen - Kairat	3:2 ✺
Danish Superliga
23.11.25	Copenhagen - Brøndby	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Vejle Boldklub Kolding - Copenhagen	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
04.11.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Copenhagen	4:0 ✺
Danish Superliga
01.11.25	Copenhagen - Fredericia	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Danish Superliga
08.08.25	Copenhagen - AGF Aarhus	2:3
27.04.25	AGF Aarhus - Copenhagen	1:3
21.04.25	Copenhagen - AGF Aarhus	3:1
Club Friendly
08.02.25	AGF Aarhus - Copenhagen	4:3
Danish Superliga
10.11.24	AGF Aarhus - Copenhagen	1:1
28.07.24	Copenhagen - AGF Aarhus	3:2
21.05.24	AGF Aarhus - Copenhagen	3:2

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