Match Info

DENMARK: SUPERLIGA - ROUND 22

Date: 17 March 2024, Sunday

Location: Ceres Park (Aarhus)

Referee: Hansen J. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	AGF Aarhus		Hvidovre

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.2	6	Watch
	1.5	4.1	6.25
	1.32	4.95	10.5
	1.53	4.23	6.82
	1.53	4.23	6.82
	1.51	4.2	6.6	Watch
	1.51	4.1	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.38)	4.29 ↓ (4.76)	7 ↓ (8.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AGF Aarhus
64.1%

Draw
22.3%

Hvidovre
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.5%

19.8%

11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.3%

19%

11.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AGF Aarhus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Hvidovre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AGF Aarhus than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AGF Aarhus, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hvidovre than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	0%	27.3%

AGF Aarhus - Hvidovre Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Aarhus will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Hvidovre will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aarhus: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
45. Peacock-Farrell B. (G) 40. Jensen-Abbew J. 5. Tingager F. 4. Anker T. 26. Andersen J. 29. Brandhof F. 7. Madsen M. 11. Links G. 31. Bech T. 9. Mortensen P. 8. Anderson M.	13. Kappenberger A. (G) 10. Spelmann M. 25. Kiilerich M. 5. Olsen M. 26. Nielsen M. 14. Jakobsen Ch. 6. Gemmer J. 11. Jorgensen T. 7. Qamili L. 9. Thomsen T. 16. Adjei-Broni J. P.
Substitutes
23. Bach T. 16. Beck J. 21. Bjur P. 20. Duelund M. 1. Hansen J. (G) 19. Kahl E. 3. Knoester M. 15. Knudsen M. 30. Sauer M.	27. Andreasen M. 30. Fredslund M. 8. Gehrt M. 28. Jungvig N. 31. Meibom B. 4. Nielsen M. 19. Ramkilde M. 29. Ravn A. (G) 22. Smed A.
Coaches
Rosler U.	Frandsen P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Mortensen P. (Pen),
26', Gemmer J. 🟨,
37', Adjei-Broni J. P. 🟨,
42', Nielsen M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Andersen J. 🟨,
59', Links G. ↓, Duelund M. ↑,
59', Andersen J. ↓, Kahl E. ↑,
68', Bech T. ↓, Bach T. ↑,
71', Jensen-Abbew J. ⚽,
76', Spelmann M. ↓, Fredslund M. ↑,
76', Adjei-Broni J. P. ↓, Smed A. ↑,
76', Gemmer J. ↓, Ramkilde M. ↑,
76', Duelund M. ↓, Knudsen M. ↑,
79', Thomsen T. ↓, Andreasen M. ↑,
85', Anker T. 🟨,
90', Andreasen M. 🟨,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Superliga (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone Superliga (Relegation Group: )).

Aarhus is Qualified for Superliga (Championship Group )

Hvidovre is Superliga (Relegation Group )

Recent matches Aarhus is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hvidovre is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hvidovre could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Aarhus is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Aarhus: Hvidt B. (Injury) Knudsen M. (Injury) Yakob K. (Injury)

There are questionable in Aarhus: Peacock-Farrell B. (Injury)

There are questionable in Hvidovre: Djukic F. (Injury) Kaalund M. (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Aarhus won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AGF Aarhus
Danish Superliga
10.03.24	Silkeborg IF - AGF Aarhus	0:1 ✺
03.03.24	AGF Aarhus - OB Odense	1:1 ✺
25.02.24	AGF Aarhus - Midtjylland	2:3 ✺
19.02.24	Vejle Boldklub Kolding - AGF Aarhus	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
12.02.24	AGF Aarhus - Bryne	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WTLTW
- Hvidovre IF
Danish Superliga
08.03.24	Hvidovre - Nordsjælland	1:2 ✺
03.03.24	Lyngby BK - Hvidovre	2:4 ✺
25.02.24	Hvidovre - Viborg	2:2 ✺
18.02.24	Hvidovre - Randers FC	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
27.01.24	Hillerød - Hvidovre	7:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Danish Superliga
06.08.23	Hvidovre - AGF Aarhus	0:2

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