Match Info

Superliga - Round 3

Date: 2 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: New Vejlby Stadium (Aarhus)

Referee: Sundberg J. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Ukraine	Sport 3
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	AGF Aarhus		Midtjylland

	1	X	2
	3	3.6	2.2	Watch
	3.20	3.60	2.10
	2.92	3.55	2.25
	3.11	3.7	2.33
	3.03	3.69	2.21	Watch
	2.95	3.65	2.25
	3.17	3.61	2.18	Watch
	3.05	3.6	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (2.72)	3.63 ↑ (3.61)	2.22 ↓ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AGF Aarhus
31.1%

Draw
26.2%

Midtjylland
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

26%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

26.3%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AGF Aarhus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Midtjylland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AGF Aarhus than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Midtjylland than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.3%	13.3%	73.3%

AGF Aarhus - Midtjylland Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Aarhus will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Midtjylland will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Midtjylland: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (2.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0, 1st Half - Aarhus (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aarhus (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Hedenstad M. (G) 25. Rosler C. 44. Camara M. 19. Kahl E. 26. Andersen J. 4. Knudsen M. 10. Arnstad K. (C) 39. Emmery F. 31. Bech T. 27. Tchamche S. 23. Anderson M.	1. Olafsson E. (G) 6. Erlic M. 3. Jensen M. 15. Beni D. 5. Kristensen R. (C) 8. Billing P. 19. Bravo P. 29. Watjen K. 21. Castillo D. 90. Etim F. 10. Cho Gue-Sung
Substitutes
28. Bogere J. 33. Callo L. 29. Carstensen R. 1. Hansen J. (G) 16. Jonsson J. 8. Jorgensen S. 14. Molgaard T. 13. Serra J. 7. Solbakken M.	25. Bakker N. (G) 55. Bak V. 14. Chilufya E. 33. Djabi A. 7. Franculino 18. Iheanacho S. 27. Johannesen S. 34. Ndiaye A. 17. Uhre M.
Coaches
Poulsen J.	Tullberg M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Etim F. ⚽, Billing P. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Bravo P. ↓, Johannesen S. ↑,
56', 0 - 2, Castillo D. ⚽, Etim F. (A),
59', Anderson M. ↓, Bogere J. ↑,
59', Camara M. ↓, Callo L. ↑,
60', Tchamche S. ↓, Serra J. ↑,
67', Erlic M. ↓, Bak V. ↑,
67', Cho Gue-Sung ↓, Iheanacho S. ↑,
68', Rosler C. 🟨,
72', Rosler C. ↓, Carstensen R. ↑,
81', Watjen K. 🟨,
81', Bech T. ↓, Jorgensen S. ↑,
81', Etim F. ↓, Chilufya E. ↑,
85', Beni D. ↓, Ndiaye A. ↑,
87', Knudsen M. 🟨,
89', Billing P. 🟨,
90+2', Kristensen R. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Superliga (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Superliga (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aarhus won 0.

Aarhus is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Midtjylland is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Midtjylland might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Aarhus: Gyamfi R. (Muscle Injury) Haugstrup O. (Inactive) Kristjansson T. (Inactive) Links G. (Inactive) Poulsen N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Tingager F. (Injury) Yakob K. (Inactive)

There will not play in Midtjylland: Bak V. (Inactive) Diao O. (Foot Injury) Emefile J. (Red Card) Erlic M. (Injury) Gogorza M. (Hip Injury) Junior Brumado (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aarhus won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 17:28. (average 0.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Aarhus won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 0.9:0.8).

Outrights of Danish Superliga for now

Midtjylland: 30.2% Aarhus: 0.52%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Midtjylland	9	5	4	0	17:9	8	19
11	Aarhus	9	0	5	4	11:17	-6	5

Last Results with these Odds

AGF Aarhus - the odds 2.72 are the expected chance of winning is 34.57%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AGF Aarhus
Danish Superliga
30.08.26	Randers FC - AGF Aarhus	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.08.26	AGF Aarhus - Benfica	1:3 ✺
Danish Superliga
23.08.26	AGF Aarhus - OB Odense	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
20.08.26	Benfica - AGF Aarhus	3:1 ✺
Danish Superliga
14.08.26	Viborg - AGF Aarhus	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLL
- FC Midtjylland
Danish Superliga
30.08.26	Silkeborg IF - Midtjylland	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.08.26	Rijeka - Midtjylland	1:4 ✺
Danish Superliga
23.08.26	Midtjylland - Randers FC	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
20.08.26	Midtjylland - Rijeka	2:0 ✺
Danish Superliga
16.08.26	Lyngby BK - Midtjylland	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Danish Superliga
26.04.26	AGF Aarhus - Midtjylland	0:0
20.04.26	Midtjylland - AGF Aarhus	2:1
Danish Landspokal Cup
08.03.26	Midtjylland - AGF Aarhus	1:1
12.02.26	AGF Aarhus - Midtjylland	0:1
Danish Superliga
03.11.25	Midtjylland - AGF Aarhus	1:1
03.08.25	AGF Aarhus - Midtjylland	0:0
04.05.25	Midtjylland - AGF Aarhus	3:1

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