Match Info

Superliga - Round 5

Date: 23 August 2026, Sunday

Location: New Vejlby Stadium (Aarhus)

Referee: Kristoffersen M. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Ukraine	Sport 1
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	Sport 1 Baltic


	AGF Aarhus		OB Odense

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.7	3.7	Watch
	1.78	3.80	4.00
	1.75	3.8	4.2
	1.97	3.94	3.86
	1.91	3.91	3.65	Watch
	1.91	3.85	3.75
	1.88	3.75	3.95	Watch
	1.92	3.8	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.72)	3.82 ↓ (4.01)	3.85 ↓ (4.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AGF Aarhus
50.6%

Draw
24.8%

OB Odense
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

23.3%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6%

22.8%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AGF Aarhus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

OB Odense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AGF Aarhus than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for OB Odense than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

AGF Aarhus - OB Odense Predictions

Users Predictions: AGF Aarhus will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Hedenstad M. (G) 26. Andersen J. 44. Camara M. 19. Kahl E. (C) 11. Links G. 4. Knudsen M. 7. Solbakken M. 39. Emmery F. 8. Jorgensen S. 31. Bech T. 28. Bogere J.	16. Myhra V. (G) 2. Therkildsen P. 13. Askou J. 29. Gomez J. 15. McCoy M. 22. Ouedraogo I. 8. Falk R. (C) 14. Gammelgaard C. 7. Arp F. 9. Keskinen T. 17. Ganaus N.
Substitutes
23. Anderson M. 10. Arnstad K. 33. Callo L. 29. Carstensen R. 1. Hansen J. (G) 16. Jonsson J. 14. Molgaard T. 13. Serra J. 27. Tchamche S.	6. Bonde J. 21. Friis V. 31. Grot J. 1. Hansen M. (G) 18. Holmstrom A. 5. Jenssen U. 19. Juul-Sandberg N. 40. Lassen N. 3. Sorensen A.
Coaches
Poulsen J.	Thomasberg T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
21', 1 - 0, Bogere J. ⚽, Jorgensen S. (A),
26', 1 - 1, Arp F. ⚽,
42', 1 - 2, Arp F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Andersen J. ↓, Callo L. ↑,
55', Falk R. 🟨,
64', Solbakken M. ↓, Arnstad K. ↑,
64', Emmery F. ↓, Carstensen R. ↑,
64', Ganaus N. ↓, Grot J. ↑,
65', Therkildsen P. 🟨,
65', Arp F. ↓, Holmstrom A. ↑,
69', Gomez J. 🟨,
72', Bogere J. ↓, Serra J. ↑,
74', Therkildsen P. ↓, Jenssen U. ↑,
75', 2 - 2, Carstensen R. ⚽, Knudsen M. (A),
76', Ouedraogo I. 🟨,
80', Camara M. ↓, Molgaard T. ↑,
82', Gammelgaard C. ↓, Sorensen A. ↑,
82', Falk R. ↓, Bonde J. ↑,
88', Keskinen T. 🟨,
90+2', Holmstrom A. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aarhus won 3.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Odense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Aarhus has had a series of away games.

In this match, Aarhus is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Aarhus: Gyamfi R. (Muscle Injury) Poulsen N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Tingager F. (Injury) Yakob K. (Inactive)

There will not play in Odense: Arp F. (Inactive) Martin W. (Injury) Niemiec J. (Inactive) Suhonen A. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aarhus won 11 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 32:17. (average 1.6:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Aarhus won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 22:11. (average 1.8:0.9).

Outrights of Danish Superliga for now

Odense: 0.58% Aarhus: 0.52%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Odense	10	2	4	4	8:14	-6	10
11	Aarhus	9	0	5	4	11:17	-6	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AGF Aarhus
UEFA Europa League
20.08.26	Benfica - AGF Aarhus	3:1 ✺
Danish Superliga
14.08.26	Viborg - AGF Aarhus	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
11.08.26	Sabah - AGF Aarhus	4:0 ✺
05.08.26	AGF Aarhus - Sabah	2:1 ✺
Danish Superliga
01.08.26	Lyngby BK - AGF Aarhus	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLWT
- OB Odense
Danish Superliga
16.08.26	OB Odense - Horsens	1:2 ✺
10.08.26	Silkeborg IF - OB Odense	1:0 ✺
03.08.26	OB Odense - SønderjyskE	1:0 ✺
24.07.26	Viborg - OB Odense	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
17.07.26	Midtjylland - OB Odense	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Danish Superliga
09.02.26	AGF Aarhus - OB Odense	2:1
Danish Landspokal Cup
14.12.25	AGF Aarhus - OB Odense	3:1
11.12.25	OB Odense - AGF Aarhus	1:0
Danish Superliga
18.08.25	OB Odense - AGF Aarhus	1:5
Club Friendly
06.07.25	AGF Aarhus - OB Odense	0:0
16.01.25	AGF Aarhus - OB Odense	4:1
Danish Superliga
03.03.24	AGF Aarhus - OB Odense	1:1

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