Match Info

Superliga - Round 4

Date: 14 August 2026, Friday

Location: Energi Viborg Arena (Viborg)

Referee: Redder M. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 4
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Serbia	Arena Sport 3
Slovenia	SportKlub 4
Sweden	Viaplay
Ukraine	Sport 2
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	Sport 2 Baltic


	Viborg		AGF Aarhus

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.75	3.6	Watch
	2.05	3.60	3.20
	1.98	3.6	3.55
	2.01	3.88	3.77
	2.02	3.79	3.4	Watch
	1.96	3.85	3.6
	1.97	3.65	3.5	Watch
	2	3.75	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.1)	3.73 ↑ (3.6)	3.51 ↑ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Viborg
47.7%

Draw
25.3%

AGF Aarhus
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

26%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

26.6%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Viborg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

AGF Aarhus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Viborg than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AGF Aarhus than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	37.5%	0%

Viborg - AGF Aarhus Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Viborg will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Viborg: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Kiilerich K. (G) 30. Kuzmic S. 4. Kirkegaard L. 5. Zaletel Z. 23. Bundgaard O. 10. Jorgensen T. 13. Gronning J. (C) 6. Sondergaard M. 29. Jalal S. 19. Hanza D. 11. Nouck C.	1. Hansen J. (G) 14. Molgaard T. 44. Camara M. 26. Andersen J. 11. Links G. 7. Solbakken M. 10. Arnstad K. (C) 39. Emmery F. 8. Jorgensen S. 23. Anderson M. 13. Serra J.
Substitutes
17. Addo O. 24. Anyembe D. 8. Beck A. 26. Bidstrup H. 21. Brahimi B. 33. Damkjer F. 34. Keller P. 36. Kleis-Kristoffersen A. 1. Lund L. (G)	31. Bech T. 28. Bogere J. 33. Callo L. 29. Carstensen R. 21. Hedenstad M. (G) 19. Kahl E. 4. Knudsen M. 20. Kristjansson T. 45. Storch C.
Coaches
Lund N.	Poulsen J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Sondergaard M. ⚽, Zaletel Z. (A),
31', 1 - 1, Emmery F. ⚽, Solbakken M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', 2 - 1, Sondergaard M. ⚽, Bundgaard O. (A),
61', Jorgensen T. ↓, Keller P. ↑,
61', Jalal S. ↓, Brahimi B. ↑,
61', Sondergaard M. ↓, Beck A. ↑,
61', Solbakken M. ↓, Knudsen M. ↑,
61', Molgaard T. ↓, Kahl E. ↑,
72', Serra J. ↓, Bogere J. ↑,
72', Anderson M. ↓, Bech T. ↑,
76', Knudsen M. 🟨,
84', Nouck C. ↓, Damkjer F. ↑,
85', Andersen J. ↓, Kristjansson T. ↑,
87', Hanza D. ↓, Kleis-Kristoffersen A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Viborg won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Viborg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Viborg is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Viborg: Freriks T. (Knock) Njoh Y. (Injury) Riahi M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Aarhus: Gyamfi R. (Muscle Injury) Poulsen N. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Aarhus: Tingager F. (Injury) Yakob K. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Viborg won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:33. (average 1.1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Viborg won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.1:1).

Outrights of Danish Superliga for now

Viborg: 3.37% Aarhus: 0.52%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Viborg	9	5	2	2	15:8	7	17
11	Aarhus	9	0	5	4	11:17	-6	5

Last Results with these Odds

Viborg - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 44.43%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Viborg FF
Danish Superliga
07.08.26	SønderjyskE - Viborg	0:0 ✺
02.08.26	Brøndby - Viborg	1:0 ✺
24.07.26	Viborg - OB Odense	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
16.07.26	Copenhagen - Viborg	2:1 ✺
11.07.26	Viborg - Notts County	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLWLW
- AGF Aarhus
UEFA Champions League
11.08.26	Sabah - AGF Aarhus	4:0 ✺
05.08.26	AGF Aarhus - Sabah	2:1 ✺
Danish Superliga
01.08.26	Lyngby BK - AGF Aarhus	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
29.07.26	Lech Poznań - AGF Aarhus	1:5 penalties ✺
Danish Superliga
25.07.26	AGF Aarhus - Brøndby	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
27.06.26	AGF Aarhus - Viborg	1:1
Danish Superliga
17.05.26	AGF Aarhus - Viborg	6:2
06.04.26	Viborg - AGF Aarhus	1:2
22.02.26	AGF Aarhus - Viborg	5:2
14.09.25	Viborg - AGF Aarhus	1:2
09.03.25	AGF Aarhus - Viborg	1:1
06.10.24	Viborg - AGF Aarhus	1:1

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