Match Info

Date: 12 October 2026, Monday


	AGF Aarhus		SønderjyskE

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.10	5.25	Watch
	1.60	4.20	4.80
	1.61	4.00	4.90
	1.59	4.46	5.20
	1.59	4.42	4.93	Watch
	1.54	4.35	4.90
	1.59	4.25	4.88	Watch
	1.58	4.30	4.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.62)	4.26 ↓ (4.33)	4.96 ↑ (4.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

AGF Aarhus
59.2%

Draw
21.9%

SønderjyskE
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

21.8%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

21%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AGF Aarhus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

SønderjyskE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AGF Aarhus than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SønderjyskE than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

AGF Aarhus - SønderjyskE Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Aarhus will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Preview

A direct clash near the foot of the table where neither side can afford to drop points (ranked 11th in the Superliga (Relegation Group: ) and 12th in the Superliga (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aarhus won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Aarhus may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Aarhus carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Aarhus has recorded 11 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 38:22 (averaging 1.9:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Aarhus against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 20:11 goals (averaging 2:1.1 per game).

Outrights of Danish Superliga for now

Aarhus: 0.52% Sonderjyske: 0.38%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Aarhus	9	0	5	4	11:17	-6	5
12	Sonderjyske	9	1	2	6	12:21	-9	5

Last Results with these Odds

AGF Aarhus - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 58.28%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AGF Aarhus
Club Friendly
02.10.26	AGF Aarhus - Vendsyssel	2:1 ✺
Danish Superliga
20.09.26	Horsens - AGF Aarhus	2:2 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
16.09.26	Skjold - AGF Aarhus	1:6 ✺
Danish Superliga
13.09.26	Nordsjælland - AGF Aarhus	2:0 ✺
05.09.26	AGF Aarhus - Silkeborg IF	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WTWLT
- SønderjyskE
Danish Superliga
20.09.26	SønderjyskE - Randers FC	4:2 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
16.09.26	AB Copenhagen - SønderjyskE	3:1 ✺
Danish Superliga
13.09.26	Lyngby BK - SønderjyskE	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	SønderjyskE - Horsens	2:5 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
03.09.26	Thisted - SønderjyskE	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Danish Superliga
03.05.26	AGF Aarhus - SønderjyskE	2:1
15.03.26	SønderjyskE - AGF Aarhus	1:1
09.11.25	AGF Aarhus - SønderjyskE	2:3
Danish Landspokal Cup
29.10.25	AGF Aarhus - SønderjyskE	2:1
Danish Superliga
20.07.25	SønderjyskE - AGF Aarhus	1:1
16.02.25	SønderjyskE - AGF Aarhus	1:4
02.08.24	AGF Aarhus - SønderjyskE	4:0

Upcoming Matches