Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 15

Date: 13 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Strawberry Arena (Solna)

Referee: Maqedonci G. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Max, Veikkaus TV
Sweden	Discovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 2, TV4 Play


	AIK		Degerfors

	1	X	2
	1.6	4	5.5	Watch
	1.57	4	5.5
	1.6	3.95	5.3	Watch
	1.62	4.05	5.66
				Watch
	1.57	3.8	5.5
	1.61	4.05	5.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.5)	3.98 ↓ (4.26)	5.49 ↓ (6.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AIK
59.1%

Draw
23.7%

Degerfors
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.7%

22.1%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

18.5%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AIK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Degerfors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AIK than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AIK that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Degerfors than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.8%	6.1%	2%

AIK - Degerfors Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - AIK (2.15) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DC - AIK (1.17) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: AIK will win (45 of 46 users predict this - 97.83%).
Confidence interval (95%): 93.62% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): AIK will win (17 of 17 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. AIK (votes: 20 - 95.2%). Degerfors (votes: 1 - 4.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
15. Nordfeldt K. (G) 17. Thychosen M. 32. Benkovic F. 4. Papagiannopoulos S. 3. Isherwood T. 8. Hove J. 33. Csongvai A. 46. Geiger Y. 9. Kakoullis A. 7. Saletros A. (C) 45. Ayari T.	25. Forsell R. (G) 6. Sundgren D. 4. Hien L. 5. Pikkarainen J. 2. Diaby M. 11. Gravius C. 8. Girmai N. (C) 16. Ohlsson S. 18. Gronborg T. 10. Rafferty M. 19. Faraj O.
Substitutes
18. Ali A. 10. Celina B. 11. Guidetti J. 30. Joelsson K. (G) 5. Karlsson K. 12. Pavey C. 16. Tiedemann B. 22. Uronen J. 21. Wilson S.	20. Barsoum E. 9. Fisic A. 23. Heden A. 1. Jakobsson W. (G) 12. Lindell E. 22. Lundgren M. 15. Moro N. 7. Ohlsson S. 21. Pihlstrom E.
Coaches
Thomassen M.	Solberg T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Ohlsson S. 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Kakoullis A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Gronborg T. ↓, Lundgren M. ↑,
64', 2 - 0, Kakoullis A. ⚽, Ayari T. (A),
66', Lundgren M. 🟨,
68', Hien L. ↓, Ohlsson S. ↑,
68', Rafferty M. ↓, Barsoum E. ↑,
73', Kakoullis A. ↓, Guidetti J. ↑,
73', Ayari T. ↓, Celina B. ↑,
80', Diaby M. ↓, Lindell E. ↑,
85', Hove J. ↓, Ali A. ↑,
90', Ohlsson S. ↓, Fisic A. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 0, Celina B. ⚽, Saletros A. (A),

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 and 14 in the zone Allsvenskan (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AIK won 1.

AIK is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Degerfors is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, AIK is the team to beat.

There will not play in AIK: Andersson V. (Inactive) Besirovic D. (Suspended) Edh E. (Back Injury) Ellingsen M. (Leg Injury) Filling K. (Inactive) Redkin A. (Inactive) Uronen J. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Degerfors: Hien L. (Injury) Morgado B. (Inactive)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, AIK won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.5:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, AIK won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AIK Fotboll
Swedish Allsvenskan
06.07.25	Halmstad - AIK	2:0 ✺
29.06.25	AIK - IFK Göteborg	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
19.06.25	AIK - Sirius	1:2 ✺
15.06.25	Bodø Glimt - AIK	4:0 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
01.06.25	Sirius - AIK	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LWLLL
- Degerfors IF
Swedish Allsvenskan
06.07.25	Djurgården - Degerfors	5:1 ✺
29.06.25	Degerfors - Brommapojkarna	0:3 ✺
31.05.25	Degerfors - Öster	1:2 ✺
26.05.25	Hammarby - Degerfors	1:0 ✺
19.05.25	Degerfors - IFK Göteborg	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Svenska Cupen
14.02.25	AIK - Degerfors	1:1
Swedish Allsvenskan
18.09.23	AIK - Degerfors	2:0
20.05.23	Degerfors - AIK	2:1
18.09.22	AIK - Degerfors	1:1
26.06.22	Degerfors - AIK	1:1
Club Friendly
05.02.22	AIK - Degerfors	3:2
Swedish Allsvenskan
27.09.21	Degerfors - AIK	2:1

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