Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 10

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Strawberry Arena (Solna)

Referee: Klitte F. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	VG+
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play


	AIK		Sirius

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.75	2.05	Watch
	3.15	3.65	2.1
	3.35	3.8	2.16
	3.33	3.75	2.16	Watch
	3.1	3.5	2.05
	3.16	3.66	2.09	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↑ (2.65)	3.69 ↑ (3.45)	2.1 ↓ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AIK
29.5%

Draw
25.6%

Sirius
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

26.8%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

26.3%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AIK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AIK's form might have worsened.

Sirius has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sirius's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AIK than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sirius than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sirius, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	27.3%	72.7%

AIK - Sirius Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Sirius will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sirius: 46.4% – 99%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Sirius (1.53) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - AIK (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. AIK (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Sirius (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Joelsson K. (G) 17. Thychosen M. 4. Papagiannopoulos S. (C) 33. Csongvai A. 21. Wilson S. 46. Geiger Y. 8. Hove J. 19. Besirovic D. 29. Filling K. 9. Flataker E. 10. Celina B.	34. Celic D. (G) 20. Ekstrom V. 5. Castegren H. (C) 4. Anker T. 22. Krusnell O. 10. Heier M. 24. Svensson V. 6. Lindberg M. 17. Jonsson N. 9. Ure R. 11. Bjerkebo I.
Substitutes
11. Andersson V. 45. Ayari T. 5. Bergquist L. 2. Edh E. 37. Faqa A. 16. Gustafsson S. 48. Kouame A. 7. Mujanic A. 40. Otterud N. (G)	25. Adindu O. 26. Andersson H. 1. Diawara I. (G) 35. Eld E. 27. Magnusson B. 8. Nartey M. 21. Nilden C. 7. Persson J. 15. Sandberg S.
Coaches
Riveiro J.	Engelmark A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
19', 0 - 1, Ure R. ⚽, Svensson V. (A),
31', Celic D. 🟨,
37', 0 - 2, Ure R. ⚽, Krusnell O. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Wilson S. ↓, Bergquist L. ↑,
56', Geiger Y. ↓, Kouame A. ↑,
56', Flataker E. ↓, Gustafsson S. ↑,
58', Thychosen M. 🟨,
63', Jonsson N. ↓, Persson J. ↑,
63', Svensson V. ↓, Nilden C. ↑,
66', Filling K. ↓, Andersson V. ↑,
79', Heier M. 🟨,
80', Anker T. ↓, Sandberg S. ↑,
83', Besirovic D. 🟨,
89', Bjerkebo I. ↓, Nartey M. ↑,
89', Ekstrom V. ↓, Adindu O. ↑,
90+2', Hove J. 🟨,
90+5', Nilden C. 🟨,
90+6', Papagiannopoulos S. 🟨,
90+6', 0 - 3, Castegren H. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AIK won 2.

In recent matches, AIK has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sirius is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sirius could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in AIK: Cisse I. (Ankle Injury) Ellingsen M. (Leg Injury) Helm A. (Thigh Injury) Nissen F. (Leg Injury) Nordfeldt K. (Yellow Cards) Pavey C. (Inactive) Redkin A. (Knee Injury) Yohanna Z. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Sirius: Milleskog N. (Shoulder Injury) Persson J. (Injury) Soumah M. (Red Card)

There are questionable in AIK: Besirovic D. (Calf Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, AIK won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 33:21. (average 1.7:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, AIK won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:14. (average 1.7:1.3).

Outrights of Swedish Allsvenskan for now

Sirius: 71.53% AIK: 0.31%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sirius	23	17	3	3	53:28	25	54
9	AIK	23	9	6	8	36:40	-4	33

Last Results with these Odds

AIK - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 34.87%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AIK Fotboll
Swedish Allsvenskan
24.05.26	Hammarby - AIK	1:2 ✺
17.05.26	Västerås SK - AIK	1:1 ✺
10.05.26	AIK - Djurgården	2:4 ✺
03.05.26	Elfsborg - AIK	1:1 ✺
27.04.26	AIK - Malmö	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WTLTL
- IK Sirius
Swedish Allsvenskan
24.05.26	Sirius - GAIS	2:1 ✺
18.05.26	Djurgården - Sirius	2:3 ✺
11.05.26	Sirius - Örgryte	2:0 ✺
02.05.26	Sirius - Kalmar	3:2 ✺
27.04.26	Häcken - Sirius	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
31.08.25	AIK - Sirius	2:1
Club Friendly
19.06.25	AIK - Sirius	1:2
Swedish Allsvenskan
01.06.25	Sirius - AIK	3:1
25.09.24	Sirius - AIK	0:1
11.05.24	AIK - Sirius	1:3
31.07.23	Sirius - AIK	0:1
29.04.23	AIK - Sirius	0:0

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