Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 12

Date: 1 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Studenternas IP (Uppsala)

Referee: Maqedonci G. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Max, Veikkaus TV
Sweden	Discovery+, max Extra 4, Max, TV4 Play


	Sirius		AIK

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.4	2.15	Watch
	3.1	3.3	2.2
	3.4	3.4	2.21	Watch
	3.4	3.46	2.22
	3.41	3.37	2.17	Watch
	3	3.2	2.4
	3.29	3.36	2.22	Watch
	3.4	3.4	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↑ (3.15)	3.36 ↑ (3.31)	2.22 ↓ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sirius
28.9%

Draw
28.3%

AIK
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

28.6%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

28.1%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sirius has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

AIK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sirius than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AIK than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
19%	28.6%	52.4%

Sirius - AIK Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Sirius will win (votes: 4 - 20%). AIK will win (votes: 10 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AIK: 28.1% – 71.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Sirius (votes: 4 - 44.4%). AIK (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Diawara I. (C) 13. Voelkerling J. 15. Sandberg S. 4. Anker T. 21. Widgren D. 17. Lindberg M. 14. Walta L. 10. Heier M. 36. Ljungberg A. 9. Ure R. 29. Bjerkebo I.	15. Nordfeldt K. (C) 17. Thychosen M. 32. Benkovic F. 4. Papagiannopoulos S. 3. Isherwood T. 8. Hove J. 33. Csongvai A. 19. Besirovic D. 5. Karlsson K. 11. Guidetti J. 10. Celina B.
Substitutes
8. Andersen S. 26. Andersson H. 5. Carlsson T. 34. Celic D. (G) 20. Ekstrom V. 12. Hook I. 3. Milovanov B. 24. Svensson V. 18. Vikman A.	18. Ali A. 43. Andersson V. 45. Ayari T. 47. Fesshaie A. 30. Joelsson K. (G) 21. Johana Omondi E. 9. Kakoullis A. 16. Tiedemann B. 22. Uronen J.
Coaches
Engelmark A.	Thomassen M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Widgren D. ⚽,
34', 2 - 0, Ure R. ⚽, Bjerkebo I. (A),
36', Karlsson K. ↓, Andersson V. ↑,
36', Benkovic F. ↓, Tiedemann B. ↑,
45+3', Besirovic D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Isherwood T. ↓, Ali A. ↑,
52', Voelkerling J. 🟨,
54', Thychosen M. 🟨,
57', 2 - 1, Hove J. ⚽,
58', Voelkerling J. ↓, Milovanov B. ↑,
65', 3 - 1, Bjerkebo I. ⚽, Lindberg M. (A),
74', Guidetti J. ↓, Kakoullis A. ↑,
74', Hove J. ↓, Fesshaie A. ↑,
75', Bjerkebo I. ↓, Svensson V. ↑,
89', Milovanov B. 🟨,
89', Papagiannopoulos S. 🟨,
90+5', Ure R. ↓, Vikman A. ↑,
90+5', Widgren D. ↓, Ekstrom V. ↑,
90+5', Ljungberg A. ↓, Hook I. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sirius won 1.

Sirius is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

AIK is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

AIK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Sirius: Mamatsashvili S. (Yellow Cards) Nwadike P. (Inactive) Sjogrell H. (Injury)

There will not play in AIK: Al Saed D. (Knee Injury) Edh E. (Back Injury) Ellingsen M. (Leg Injury) Redkin A. (Inactive) Saletros A. (Red Card)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Sirius won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 15:30. (average 0.8:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Sirius won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 4:14. (average 0.4:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IK Sirius
Swedish Allsvenskan
24.05.25	GAIS - Sirius	2:1 ✺
19.05.25	Sirius - Norrköping	1:2 ✺
14.05.25	Hammarby - Sirius	3:2 ✺
10.05.25	Sirius - Häcken	2:0 ✺
03.05.25	Degerfors - Sirius	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLLWT
- AIK Fotboll
Swedish Allsvenskan
25.05.25	Brommapojkarna - AIK	0:1 ✺
22.05.25	Malmö - AIK	0:0 ✺
18.05.25	AIK - Hammarby	0:0 ✺
14.05.25	Häcken - AIK	3:3 ✺
11.05.25	AIK - Mjällby	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
25.09.24	Sirius - AIK	0:1
11.05.24	AIK - Sirius	1:3
31.07.23	Sirius - AIK	0:1
29.04.23	AIK - Sirius	0:0
02.10.22	Sirius - AIK	1:1
21.05.22	AIK - Sirius	2:2
04.12.21	AIK - Sirius	4:2

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