Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 6

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Strawberry Arena (Solna)

Referee: Klitte F. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Discovery+
Finland	Max, Veikkaus TV
Sweden	Discovery+, max Extra 3, Max, TV4 Play


	AIK		Elfsborg

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.4	3.3	Watch
	2.3	3.25	3
	2.25	3.25	3.5	Watch
	2.25	3.21	3.61
	2.22	3.19	3.49	Watch
	2.38	3.2	3
	2.25	3.15	3.45	Watch
	2.24	3.2	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.49)	3.23 ↓ (3.5)	3.35 ↑ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AIK
42.2%

Draw
29.4%

Elfsborg
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

27%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

27.3%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AIK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Elfsborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Elfsborg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AIK than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elfsborg than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Elfsborg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.5%	15.4%	46.2%

AIK - Elfsborg Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. AIK will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Elfsborg will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Elfsborg: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Elfsborg (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - AIK (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. AIK (votes: 1 - 50%). Elfsborg (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
15. Nordfeldt K. (G) 17. Thychosen M. 4. Papagiannopoulos S. 32. Benkovic F. 3. Isherwood T. 33. Csongvai A. 8. Hove J. 19. Besirovic D. 7. Saletros A. (C) 11. Guidetti J. 10. Celina B.	31. Pettersson I. (G) 4. Granli D. 6. Wikstrom R. 2. Yegbe T. 15. Hedlund S. 27. Zeneli B. (C) 10. Olsson S. 23. Hult N. 24. Ihler F. 11. Silverholt T. 20. Rapp G.
Substitutes
43. Andersson V. 47. Fesshaie A. 30. Joelsson K. (G) 9. Kakoullis A. 5. Karlsson K. 16. Tiedemann B. 22. Uronen J. 26. van der Laan E. 21. Wilson S.	28. Aronsson F. 29. Buhari I. 17. Frick P. 30. Hagg L. (G) 16. Hellemaa A. 19. Kaib R. 13. Larsson J. 26. Richtner L. 25. Sigurpalsson A.
Coaches
Thomassen M.	Hiljemark O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Hove J. ⚽, Guidetti J. (A),
19', 2 - 0, Guidetti J. ⚽, Celina B. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Rapp G. ↓, Sigurpalsson A. ↑,
68', Guidetti J. ↓, Fesshaie A. ↑,
78', Hult N. ↓, Kaib R. ↑,
78', Ihler F. ↓, Frick P. ↑,
78', Hove J. ↓, Andersson V. ↑,
80', Fesshaie A. 🟨,
83', Pettersson I. ↓, Hagg L. ↑,
85', Andersson V. 🟨,
90+4', Celina B. ↓, Karlsson K. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 4).

Last 5 head-to-head matches AIK won 1.

AIK in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Elfsborg is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Elfsborg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in AIK: Al Saed D. (Knee Injury) Ali A. (Inactive) Ayari T. (Knee Injury) Edh E. (Back Injury) Ellingsen M. (Leg Injury) Hofvander W. (Leg Injury) Redkin A. (Inactive) Tiedemann B. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Elfsborg: Thomasen J. (Inactive)

Last 20 head-to-head matches AIK won 10 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 33:28 (average 1.7:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams AIK won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17:9 (average 1.7:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AIK Fotboll
Swedish Allsvenskan
24.04.25	Värnamo - AIK	1:2 ✺
20.04.25	Öster - AIK	0:1 ✺
14.04.25	AIK - Malmö	0:0 ✺
06.04.25	AIK - Norrköping	4:3 ✺
31.03.25	GAIS - AIK	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWTWW
- IF Elfsborg
Swedish Allsvenskan
23.04.25	Elfsborg - Sirius	4:3 ✺
19.04.25	Degerfors - Elfsborg	0:1 ✺
12.04.25	Elfsborg - Norrköping	2:0 ✺
07.04.25	Malmö - Elfsborg	2:1 ✺
30.03.25	Elfsborg - Mjällby	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
27.10.24	AIK - Elfsborg	2:1
15.05.24	Elfsborg - AIK	6:1
23.10.23	Elfsborg - AIK	3:0
11.06.23	AIK - Elfsborg	1:2
06.11.22	AIK - Elfsborg	0:1
10.07.22	Elfsborg - AIK	2:2
29.11.21	Elfsborg - AIK	2:4

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