Match Info

Date: 5 July 2020, Sunday


	AIK		Falkenberg

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.75	5.5	Watch
	1.65	3.75	5
	1.62	4	5.3	Watch
	1.65	3.7	4.9
	1.68	3.92	5.23
	1.63	3.8	5.5	Watch
	1.65	3.92	5.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.49)	3.83 ↓ (4.15)	5.25 ↓ (6.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AIK
57.4%

Draw
24.6%

Falkenberg
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.4%

22.8%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.9%

19.6%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AIK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AIK's form might have worsened.

Falkenberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AIK than the current prediction. (+16.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AIK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Falkenberg than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Falkenberg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.9%	2.4%	14.6%

AIK - Falkenberg Predictions

Users Predictions: AIK will win (34 of 41 users predict this - 82.93%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 94.45%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AIK Fotboll
Swedish Allsvenskan
02.07.20	IFK Göteborg - AIK	1:0 ✺
28.06.20	AIK - Malmö	2:2 ✺
Svenska Cupen
25.06.20	Malmö - AIK	4:1 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
21.06.20	Hammarby - AIK	0:2 ✺
17.06.20	AIK - Norrköping	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LTLWL
- Falkenbergs FF
Swedish Allsvenskan
02.07.20	Falkenberg - Sirius	1:2 ✺
29.06.20	Varbergs BoIS - Falkenberg	3:1 ✺
Svenska Cupen
25.06.20	Mjällby - Falkenberg	1:0 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
21.06.20	Falkenberg - Kalmar	0:2 ✺
18.06.20	Mjällby - Falkenberg	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
20.10.19	Falkenberg - AIK	1:5
20.05.19	AIK - Falkenberg	2:0
31.07.16	AIK - Falkenberg	2:0
20.05.16	Falkenberg - AIK	2:3
Svenska Cupen
05.03.16	AIK - Falkenberg	2:1
Swedish Allsvenskan
12.09.15	Falkenberg - AIK	2:4
03.06.15	AIK - Falkenberg	4:3

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