The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Varbergs BoIS 43.4%
Draw 26.8%
Falkenberg 29.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.5%
24.2%
23.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.5%
23.7%
22.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Varbergs BoIS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Varbergs BoIS's form might have worsened.
Falkenberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Falkenberg's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varbergs BoIS than the current prediction. (+10.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Varbergs BoIS, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Falkenberg than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Falkenberg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
0%
20%
Varbergs BoIS - Falkenberg Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Varberg will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Falkenberg will win (votes: 1 - 20%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 3.5 - over (2.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
29. Strindholm D. (G) 15. Johansson N. 17. Tellgren E. 2. Broman G. 5. Hellman E. 21. Vidjeskog I. (C) 28. Sadiku E. 8. Winbo A. 7. Arlig W. 49. Borgelin S. 23. Sibelius L.
1. Andersson A. (G) 6. Borgstrom L. 4. Stalheden T. (C) 5. Hansson N. 8. Bertilsson N. 19. Lindberg O. 28. Nilsson M. 30. Aguda G. 10. Mohammad E. 11. Kallstrom H. 9. Andersson A.
Substitutes
9. Bitiqi A. 22. Dahlstrom N. 12. Kahed L. 18. Lindner J. 1. Martensson O. 19. Nilsson J. 16. Thorsson A. 20. Werner O. 3. Zackrisson H.
25. Alexandersson G. 21. Beqiri L. 22. Fritiofsson T. 2. Johansson G. 29. Komano H. 31. Lillienberg G. (G) 23. Salo A. 18. Sangare L. 14. Videhult W.
Coaches
Salwen V.
Andersson C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Arlig W. ⚽, Johansson N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', Lindberg O. ↓, Komano H. ↑,
66', 1 - 1, Aguda G. ⚽,
68', Sibelius L. ↓, Nilsson J. ↑,
68', Johansson N. ↓, Dahlstrom N. ↑,
75', Borgelin S. ↓, Bitiqi A. ↑,
75', Arlig W. ↓, Werner O. ↑,
80', Sadiku E. 🟨,
82', Kallstrom H. ↓, Beqiri L. ↑,
84', Winbo A. ↓, Lindner J. ↑,
88', Aguda G. ↓, Sangare L. ↑,
88', Borgstrom L. ↓, Salo A. ↑,
90+2', Andersson A. 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 1, Dahlstrom N. ⚽,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Allsvenskan (Promotion: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Allsvenskan).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varberg won 3.
Varberg has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Falkenberg is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Varberg is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Varberg won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:35. (average 1.5:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Varberg won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 1.8:3).