Match Info

Date: 14 August 2022, Sunday

Location: Eleda Stadion (Malmö)

Referee: Ladeback A. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Discovery+
Sweden	Discovery+


	Malmö		Sundsvall

	1	X	2
	1.11	9	23	Watch
	1.11	9.75	19
	1.09	10.5	23
	1.1	8.6	17
	1.12	10.24	23.18
	1.07	8	23	Watch
	1.09	10.25	20.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.1 ↓ (1.17)	9.48 ↑ (6.87)	21.24 ↑ (14.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Malmö
85.6%

Draw
9.9%

Sundsvall
4.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

79.8%

13.6%

6.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malmö has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Malmö's performance.

Sundsvall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.6%	21.1%	26.3%

Malmö - Sundsvall Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Malmö will win (votes: 10 - 52.6%). Sundsvall will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Malmö: 30.1% – 75.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 6 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan).

Malmö has the most likely position - 4 (18.18%), has project points - 53, has currently - 30, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a small chance of qualify for ucl (7%), has a small chance of win league (7%).

Sundsvall has the most likely position - 16 (49.63%), has project points - 20, has currently - 10, has a good chance of relegated (85%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 17, importance 31, small match rating 24. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Malmö won 1.

Recent matches Malmö is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sundsvall has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sundsvall could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Malmö is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Malmö won 9 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 29-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Malmö won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Malmö FF
UEFA Europa League
11.08.22	F91 Dudelange - Malmö	2:2 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
07.08.22	Sirius - Malmö	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
04.08.22	Malmö - F91 Dudelange	3:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
27.07.22	Malmö - Žalgiris	0:2 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
23.07.22	Malmö - Sirius	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TLWLW
- GIF Sundsvall
Swedish Allsvenskan
07.08.22	Hammarby - Sundsvall	3:0 ✺
30.07.22	Sundsvall - Varbergs BoIS	1:3 ✺
24.07.22	Helsingborg - Sundsvall	1:0 ✺
18.07.22	Sundsvall - Häcken	1:5 ✺
11.07.22	Värnamo - Sundsvall	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
01.07.22	Sundsvall - Malmö	2:1
28.05.19	Malmö - Sundsvall	2:1
06.04.19	Sundsvall - Malmö	3:1
30.09.18	Malmö - Sundsvall	0:0
13.04.18	Sundsvall - Malmö	2:2
29.07.17	Sundsvall - Malmö	0:1
11.04.17	Malmö - Sundsvall	2:0

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