Match Info

First League - Round 21

Date: 11 September 2025, Thursday


	AKAS		Shakhter Karagandy

	1	X	2
	4.35	4.45	1.52
	4.05	4.25	1.49
	2.33	4.51	2.29	Watch
	4.65	4.35	1.53	Watch
	4.2	4.2	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.92 ↓ (4.12)	4.35 ↑ (4.3)	1.67 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AKAS
23.6%

Draw
21.2%

Shakhter Karagandy
55.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.3%

21.4%

56.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.6%

20.8%

58%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AKAS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Shakhter Karagandy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AKAS than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shakhter Karagandy than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

AKAS - Shakhter Karagandy Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Makhmudov A. (G) 2. Amirzhanov A. 17. Eleusov M. 6. Emirov R. 11. Gridin S. (C) 22. Nurdaliev A. 7. Sautov A. 21. Suyunov D. 28. Vasilchenko D. 91. Yakudi K. 99. Zinadin A.	30. Shatskiy I. (G) 18. Altynkhan A. 11. Galkin M. 10. Kalybayev D. 8. Ospanov R. 44. Rudoselskiy T. (C) 17. Saidov E. 15. Savkiv B. 36. Shymyrkhan S. 9. Tattybaev A. 3. Zaynetdinov D.
Substitutes
88. Azatov A. 4. Bulgakbaev A. 1. Grubov O. (G) 3. Ilyasov K. 80. Izbasarov N. 5. Kanat R. 16. Karavaev I. (G) 10. Kriventsev P. 9. Primberdiev S. 32. Turginbaev A. 23. Zhmudov R.	27. Dilmurat M. 21. Dilmurat M. 66. Israilov A. 19. Kairkenov Z. 25. Kholod M. 26. Litosh A. 39. Makridov G. 42. Maratov A. (G) 13. Migunov A. 7. Nusip A. 4. Zubaydilda S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Sautov A. ⚽, Yakudi K. (A),
9', Ospanov R. 🟨,
39', Sautov A. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 1, Tattybaev A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Tattybaev A. ↓, Litosh A. ↑,
61', Shymyrkhan S. ↓, Israilov A. ↑,
65', Yakudi K. ↓, Kriventsev P. ↑,
65', Sautov A. ↓, Primberdiev S. ↑,
70', Altynkhan A. ↓, Kairkenov Z. ↑,
80', Emirov R. ↓, Ilyasov K. ↑,
80', Galkin M. ↓, Nusip A. ↑,
85', Zinadin A. ↓, Zhmudov R. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 4).

AKAS has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Shakhter Karagandy is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Shakhter Karagandy is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, AKAS won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AKAS FC
Kazakh First League
14.08.25	Batyr Ekibastuz - AKAS	1:5 ✺
08.08.25	AKAS - Ertis Pavlodar	2:5 ✺
31.07.25	Khan Tengri - AKAS	0:2 ✺
25.07.25	AKAS - SD Family	1:2 ✺
17.07.25	Turkistan - AKAS	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWLW
- Shakhter Karagandy
Kazakh First League
14.08.25	Aktobe 2 - Shakhter Karagandy	2:2 ✺
08.08.25	Shakhter Karagandy - Batyr Ekibastuz	4:0 ✺
01.08.25	Ertis Pavlodar - Shakhter Karagandy	3:1 ✺
25.07.25	Shakhter Karagandy - Khan Tengri	3:0 ✺
17.07.25	SD Family - Shakhter Karagandy	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh First League
13.06.25	Shakhter Karagandy - AKAS	4:2

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