The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Ertis Pavlodar 60.4%
Draw 21%
Shakhter Karagandy 18.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.8%
26%
21.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.8%
25.1%
20.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ertis Pavlodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ertis Pavlodar's performance.
Shakhter Karagandy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ertis Pavlodar than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ertis Pavlodar that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shakhter Karagandy than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
#ad
Lineups
Starting Lineups
35. Kalmykov N. (C) 10. Agimanov T. 8. Buribaev N. 23. Dobay A. 11. Fedin M. 17. Nurymbet A. 15. Satyshev A. 5. Torebek T. 21. Tungyshbaev E. 47. Vasiljev V. 7. Vomenko V.
30. Shatskiy I. (G) 18. Altynkhan A. 11. Galkin M. 66. Israilov A. 10. Kalybayev D. 12. Mukhametzhanov U. 8. Ospanov R. 44. Rudoselskiy T. (C) 15. Savkiv B. 36. Shymyrkhan S. 3. Zaynetdinov D.
Substitutes
27. Baydrakhmanov E. 41. Efremenko D. (G) 55. Elemes N. 25. Esimov R. 9. Gerasimov M. 77. Kakenov D. 88. Kenesov A. 80. Kikbaev M. 4. Nyrkov D. 19. Popov A. 97. Smailov A. 3. Toleuov B.
21. Dilmurat M. 25. Kholod M. 26. Litosh A. 13. Migunov A. 16. Nurgaliev N. (G) 23. Nurmugamet R. 7. Nusip A. 28. Sagnaev S. 17. Saidov E. 9. Tattybaev A. 4. Zubaydilda S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Tungyshbaev E. ⚽, Buribaev N. (A),
33', Vasiljev V. 🟨,
42', 2 - 0, Agimanov T. ⚽, Buribaev N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Israilov A. ↓, Saidov E. ↑,
46', Mukhametzhanov U. ↓, Litosh A. ↑,
63', Fedin M. ↓, Kikbaev M. ↑,
64', Torebek T. ↓, Nyrkov D. ↑,
64', Buribaev N. ↓, Kenesov A. ↑,
66', Galkin M. ↓, Nusip A. ↑,
75', 2 - 1, Kalybayev D. ⚽,
77', Altynkhan A. ↓, Sagnaev S. ↑,
80', Shymyrkhan S. 🟨,
88', Zaynetdinov D. 🟨,
89', 3 - 1, Tungyshbaev E. ⚽, Vasiljev V. (A),
90+1', Litosh A. 🟨,
90+3', Tungyshbaev E. ↓, Gerasimov M. ↑,
90+3', Vomenko V. ↓, Esimov R. ↑,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 and 4).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ertis won 1.
Ertis is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Shakhter Karagandy has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Ertis may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Ertis is a strong favorite.
We predict that Ertis will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ertis won 9 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 27:21. (average 1.4:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Ertis won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:10. (average 1.5:0.9).
Watch
#ad
Kalmykov N. (C) 
Bet £10 and get £30 in Free Bets
Get 100% up to 500 SEK + 100 Free spins
Betting Bonus up to 1 000 EUR + 250 EUR free bet !
