Match Info

Gaucho 2 - Round 12

Date: 16 September 2026, Wednesday


	APAFUT		EC Pelotas

	1	X	2
	2.40	2.90	2.75
	2.35	2.95	2.75
	2.39	2.98	2.77
	2.44	3.04	2.82	Watch
	2.3	2.8	2.7
	2.39	2.9	2.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.55)	2.93 ↓ (3)	2.76 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

APAFUT
37.4%

Draw
30.4%

EC Pelotas
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

30.4%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

32%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

APAFUT has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

EC Pelotas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for APAFUT than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for EC Pelotas than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

APAFUT - EC Pelotas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Gaucho 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

APAFUT may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- APAFUT
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
13.09.26	Brasil de Farroupilha - APAFUT	1:0 ✺
09.09.26	EC Guarani - APAFUT	0:2 ✺
06.09.26	APAFUT - Aimoré	3:2 ✺
01.09.26	APAFUT - Brasil de Pelotas	1:1 ✺
19.08.26	APAFUT - Veranopolis	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LWWTL
- EC Pelotas
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
13.09.26	EC Pelotas - EC Guarani	2:3 ✺
09.09.26	EC Pelotas - Aimoré	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Esportivo Bento Gonçalves - EC Pelotas	1:1 ✺
02.09.26	Santa Cruz-RS - EC Pelotas	0:0 ✺
26.08.26	EC Pelotas - GE Glória	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWTTW

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