The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
APOEL 69.9%
Draw 19.1%
Ethnikos Achna 11%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
70.3%
18.8%
11%
Our Initial ML Estimation
73.8%
17.9%
10.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
APOEL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
The chances for Ethnikos Achna have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for APOEL than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ethnikos Achna than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
APOEL - Ethnikos Achna Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gabriel Pereira (G) 31. Brorsson F. 20. Dalcio 29. Diego Rosa 38. Geovane Meurer 89. Koutsakos N. 34. Laifis K. (C) 10. Marquinhos 14. Nanu 79. Sotiriou P. 3. Stafylidis K.
38. Toumpas I. (G) 33. Andereggen N. 98. Breno Almeida 27. Confais A. 12. Lomotey E. (C) 20. Machado L. 8. Maia M. 37. Ofori R. 30. Papageorgiou G. 10. Pechlivanis M. 24. Psaltis P.
Substitutes
2. Antoniou E. 27. Belec V. (G) 30. Corbu M. 18. Diamantakos D. 9. Drazic S. 7. Meyer M. 78. Michos S. (G) 21. Poursaitidis C. 8. Satsias G. 15. Tomas M. 6. Vitor Meer 45. Yiannacou K.
7. Cejas J. 14. Dimitriou M. 40. Flores L. (G) 44. Giallouros N. 17. Gonzalez P. 21. Kravchuk A. 5. Luis Felipe 11. Marinescu M. 89. Papanikolaou Baig I. (G) 47. Perdios N. 9. Rodriguinho 2. Soulis A.
Coaches
Garcia P.
Angelovski I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Andereggen N. ⚽,
26', Marquinhos 🟨,
32', Geovane Meurer 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Geovane Meurer ↓, Diamantakos D. ↑,
46', Marquinhos ↓, Meyer M. ↑,
53', 1 - 1, Laifis K. ⚽,
62', Machado L. ↓, Cejas J. ↑,
63', Koutsakos N. ↓, Corbu M. ↑,
63', Diego Rosa ↓, Tomas M. ↑,
65', Psaltis P. 🟨,
65', 2 - 1, Sotiriou P. ⚽,
74', 3 - 1, Sotiriou P. ⚽,
77', Maia M. ↓, Luis Felipe ↑,
77', Pechlivanis M. ↓, Rodriguinho ↑,
80', Cejas J. 🟨,
81', Sotiriou P. ↓, Satsias G. ↑,
86', Ofori R. 🟥,
90+2', 4 - 1, Corbu M. ⚽,
90+3', Papageorgiou G. ↓, Dimitriou M. ↑,
90+3', Breno Almeida ↓, Marinescu M. ↑,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Cyprus League (Championship Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Cyprus League (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, APOEL won 2.
APOEL is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Ethnikos Achna has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Ethnikos Achna may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, APOEL is the clear favorite.
There will not play in APOEL: Gabriel Maioli
(Ankle Injury)
We predict that APOEL will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, APOEL won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 48:18. (average 2.4:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, APOEL won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 30:9. (average 3:0.9).